Some days, more than others, I feel like Paul Meehl in his autobiography: 'I must confess that I have never fully recovered from the shock of realizing that one can become a college professor and not be able to think straight'

I blogged about the probability this happens in 2015: daniellakens.blogspot.com/2015/05/after-…. This is a once in a lifetime event for any scientists to see in our literature (except we have all seen it too often). Take your pick: You have seen a miracle, *or* this is too good to be true.

The most rigorous work I've done is in Registered Reports. As I approach mid-career, these are the findings I'm most confident in. Thanks to the reviewers and editors of this growing format! RegisteredReports Center for Open Science PCI Registered Reports (@[email protected]). After two Stage 1 acceptances this week: 1/6

I updated my post on equivalence tests using {marginaleffects} this morning.

If you want to make an argument *FOR* no effect, then you should be using an equivalence test.

carlislerainey.com/blog/2023-08-1…

A researcher uses Bayesian estimators because of their attractive frequentist properties.

For example, maybe they use a “weakly informative” prior to regularize estimates and shrink the RMSE compared to the usual ML estimates.

Is this researcher a Bayesian or a frequentist?

Today I read an exam where student observed a non-significant correlation (r = 0.007, p=0.196) between self-reported happiness and strength of religious belief in European Social Survey. N = 36 812. Take that crud factor!
Daniël Lakens Amy Orben

In the next 3 episodes of Nullius In Verba we will be discussing Paul Meehl's Philosophical Psychology course. Still one of the best free online courses you watch 35 years later! meehl.umn.edu/video If you want to listen along, we will discuss lectures 1-3 two weeks from now!

The BMJ is looking for a freelance statistical reviewer, offering to pay £115/review.

Yes we can professionalise peer review and pay academics for peer review as a service.

jobsearch.bmj.com/jobs/job/Freel…

Daniël Lakens Nullius In Verba Nice timing for me having just relistened for the fourth time.

Listened to the lectures three or four times over six-ish years.

They make discussions with peers very difficult.

Like you've been to outer space and try to describe life outside The Hundred Acre Wood.

In the next 3 episodes of Nullius In Verba we will be discussing Paul Meehl's Philosophical Psychology course. Still one of the best free online courses you watch 35 years later! meehl.umn.edu/video If you want to listen along, we will discuss lectures 1-3 two weeks from now!

Sorry, link was to our episode discussing the paper: The prologue episode where we simply read the paper in full is here: nulliusinverba.podbean.com/e/prologus-13-…

I feel the same about the term “evidence-based”. Used so loosely, with 99% of folk claiming it not knowing what it really means

Has caused much harm/waste

The challenge is can we get to a baseline where enough can discern good use of “evidence-based” that it lessens poor use?

Daniel Dennett has died. We read his paper 'Chmess' on Nullius In Verba last year. A lovely short paper on how not to get dragged into useless research or discussions. Give it a listen!

nulliusinverba.podbean.com/e/chmess/

Daniel Dennett has died. We read his paper 'Chmess' on Nullius In Verba last year. A lovely short paper on how not to get dragged into useless research or discussions. Give it a listen!

nulliusinverba.podbean.com/e/chmess/

さて、新年度一発目はさっそく明日、4/18 (木) の10:45～、「プレレジとレジレポの価値について考える会」です。Lakens et al. (2024) を読みつつ、再現性問題や信頼性革命について再入門します。
これから勉強してみたい！というご新規の方も大歓迎です！！

osf.io/xcu4m/