k.kormley (@kormleyk) 's Twitter Profile
k.kormley

@kormleyk

L/S Electronic Paper Pusher Generalist || Somebody's Contra

ID: 1474874996455583744

calendar_today25-12-2021 22:50:14

971 Tweet

426 Followers

1,1K Following

k.kormley (@kormleyk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Spirit companies blaming their bad performance on 'tough economic conditions' for the last two years doesn't sit well for me. If so, we should see it in other industries a lot more clearly

k.kormley (@kormleyk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Risk case in fact happened with a big backlog # for DCs. GMs were lower, but obviously doesn't matter right now for the stock. Contra status increased.

k.kormley (@kormleyk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This should be well known. It would be funny if we get negative 3p data next week & the market pukes ("AI to zero). Then rally into year end when 3p accelerates again & everyone degrossed. Yipit giveth, yipit taketh away.

k.kormley (@kormleyk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$WIX ER tmr will be fun. Gave back all its Base44 gains. But alt data show accel & mgmt are pumping. Can make a base case that top line accels to 17% in '26 w/ Base44 vs. 14%, though bulls are likely hoping for ~20%. Core biz is solid acc checks. Anyway prob no one will care

k.kormley (@kormleyk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Don't think $WIX numbers were this bad, though the $50mm ARR Guide is disappointing. Narrative is stuck in no man's land (FCF or investment/growth?), so not worth the brain damage.