Super excited about our swing state polling project Cook Political Report is doing with BSG and GS Strategies. Lots of great data here, but main take-away is that cost of living concerns are currently overriding all else in this campaign. cookpolitical.com/survey-researc…

Here’s a big reason why Trump is currently ahead in swing states. Almost 60% of voters think BIden has some or all lot of control over inflation and costs, but just 40% trust him to lower them in 2nd term. Compared to 60% who think Trump will lower them. cookpolitical.com/sites/default/…

Biden can’t make the election a referendum on Trump unless Trump is in the spotlight early and often.

I have to believe that I’m not the only parent who would love to see more of this. dispatch.com/story/news/pol…

Also, a Washington Post or NYTimes endorsement is a HUGE plus in Dem primary- liability in GOP primary.

Alsobrooks easily won Democratic nomination for the Maryland Senate race. Larry Hogan starts the race with high favorable ratings, but a nationalized race favors Alsobrooks.

MUST READ from Cook Political Report House gurus, Erin Covey & Dave Wasserman on fight for House control: “most likely outcome is a single-digit gain for either party” Republicans “retain the slightest of advantages”.

cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

Since 2016, only 1 SEN candidate (Collins in ME) has been able to win a state the POTUS nominee of their party lost. Today’s NYT/Siena polling suggests that we could see that trend break in ‘24 to SEN DEMs favor as their brand is stronger than Biden.

How are we only 6 months from the election?! Sign up for the free weekly email with Cook Political Report headlines so you can stay on top of it all!

Yes, we have a deeply divided country. No, this is not the same as Viet Nam or Civil Rights era.

Such a well-deserved honor for Cook Political Report ‘s Dave Wasserman . The only non-academic chosen for this prestigious fellowship!

cookpolitical.com/analysis/press…

cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…
In our first incumbent vs. ex-incumbent contest since 1892, the race can be defined by past (comparing Trump’s first term with Biden’s first term) or the future (Trump 2.0 vs. Biden 2.0). Polls find Trump winning “past.” Can he win future too?

Biden needs this election to be a referendum on Trump. This trial was going to be an opportunity to put his biggest liabilities forward. But, no cameras in courtroom + campus protests mean very little Trump media coverage.

This was not only fun and engaging, but was also a great conversation about role of media and the women who are responsible for campaign coverage. Some great insights and fun stories, aplenty.

Yes, Haley did best in “Never Trump” suburban Philly.
But it was notable that she also took some of her strongest support in the more swingy counties of Cumberland (outside of Harrisburg): Erie, Berks and Lancaster. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

And PA is a closed primary state. Meaning, no independents or Democrats can vote in GOP primary. Questions for November. How many of these Haley voters are: 1) 2020 Biden voters; 2) 2020 Trump voters willing to switch/stay home?

Y’all, I’m so exhausted already. Don’t know that I can emotionally handle another half….

Hey Logan Dobson , it’s been awhile, but here’s another great “only in Colorado” more specifically, Boulder, story.

“Climber on being rescued from Boulder’s Flatirons with his adventure cat: “She was 100% calm”
Austin Wolff says his cat Link was safe and content while he