The story is bigger than people’s direct losses.. brittle areas are witnessing erosion of their economic capacities. Loss of insurability, diminished credit worthiness, drops in local government revenue — as well as household economic loss Alex Steffen alexsteffen.substack.com/p/the-bottlene…

UHaul census data for '24 is in. 1-7 are nuts. What I consider to be the top 3 most geographically advantaged states all moved up a few spots, though only 1 is in the top 20. Good news for those of us leveraging our assets to make a near-future move. uhaul.com/Articles/About…

Here’s something from my latest offering on Medium for everybody to ignore. medium.com/@adam2445/bypa…

Adam Newman But there are so many risks stacking up and each weakening the system, it's impossible to predict what will be the final straw. Another pandemic, US shale peaking and Trump's general behaviour / response to crises are my 3 big risks for the next 5 years.

I have something important to tweet. Pete Buttigieg looks like Jenna Fischer. Very similar mouth & teeth. Hope this helps!

Damn. Rewatching Interstellar since it first came out. Since before I knew about our climate & ecological predicament. Since before I knew who Michael Mann was. You will never convince me that Dr. Mann in this movie isn’t based on him. It’s uncanny. Whew, what a movie.

Not sure how to feel about this. I think Prof, like many other smart & analytical people, was/is intentionally focusing on the science. The numbers. Data! It’s hard to admit that we don’t need any more data & shift your focus to the next phase. The Seneca Cliff is near.

It's not a stock market correction! The tariffs are going to affect the *real* economy, and the stock market declines are *anticipating* that.

All solutionists - We must, we have to, we need to, we should… No solutionists - But since we haven’t & pretty clearly won’t (certainly not in time to make a difference) INSTEAD we must, we have to, we need to, we should…. They just can’t take the next logical step.

So the original ‘do not cross’ limit of +1.5C is in the rear view (in real terms…the long term avg may take a few more years) & we’re still arguing about the best way to communicate the crisis to the masses. I’m having trouble coming up w/ something analogous. We are cooked.

I don’t think people in our echo chamber are mentally prepared for how fast the hope peddlers will move on to the new goal of staying below +2C, nor how well this goalpost relocation will work for keeping the public disengaged & buying time for BAU.

Even the best of our currently plausible pathways include the unofficial abandonment of a staggering number of people. Millions of us are being forced to plan for a world in which no one is coming, and "you're on your own." alexsteffen.substack.com/p/no-one-wants…

Just a reminder that no matter how you slice it, no matter which proxies you decide are relevant or irrelevant, Earth has warmed so quickly over the last 50 years that the "Hockey Stick" shows up on every temperature reconstruction (even the ones produced by skeptics).

“Only 35% to 40% of US pregnant women and parents of young children say they intend to fully vaccinate their child, per survey results from researchers at Emory University and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).” cidrap.umn.edu/childhood-vacc…

Perfectly stated. I’ve had trouble expressing this concept & I think the piece missing from my mental framework has been the individual vs communal aspect.

Your 'moment of doom' for July 29, 2025 ~ IPCC vs. Actuaries "let me remind you that in a 2°C warmer world, GDP will contract by more than 25%, with 'mass human mortality events resulting in over 2 billion deaths.'" meer.com/en/91051-the-i…

We still factoring “current pledges & promises” into whether or not we can stay below +1.5C?