This is the most important political fact that even high information people on both sides of the aisle don’t know. Rock the Vote is bad now.

Latest destruction of an industry just dropped:

udio.com/songs/eY7xtug1…

Not much 'racial realignment' in these new Pew numbers.

Something to keep an eye on with 2024 to 2020 polling comparisons: the 65+ age group composition changes in important ways on the margin over 4 years. Often return to this Robert Griffin chart. 65+ group will continually get more diverse into the future

americanprogress.org/article/states…

Still accepting applications!

'...need to meet statistical significance...' 😩

The story is more complex than these graphs suggest. Let's take Black partisanship and do 3 things:

1) Crucially, separate ANES and CES surveys

2) Calculate the % Democratic within and without independents who lean Democratic

3) No smoothing. Let's see the raw data.

It has been wild ride for Northeast PA these last 8 years.

The anthropological deep dives of Obama-Trump voters in Luzerne County are now being complemented by the portraits of die-hard Biden supporters in the same area.

Liberals like a variety of popular culture & do not dislike conservative pop culture, with tastes rooted in demographics. Conservatives like a narrower range of pop culture & dislike culture of Black & urban liberals, with tastes more rooted in ideology
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-art…

This is one of the coolest things I found on this website in a long time: guessthecorrelation.com

This is a great opportunity. Speaking from experience, I can say Rob is a fantastic colleague.

🚨 I'm hiring 🚨

Unique opportunity to help launch a new research effort, which includes original data collection, analysis, and the creation of high-profile work on the health and well-being of American democracy. Come work with me!

democracyfund.applytojob.com/apply/9XIZ5Wlm…

very cool team

🚨 I'm hiring 🚨

Unique opportunity to help launch a new research effort, which includes original data collection, analysis, and the creation of high-profile work on the health and well-being of American democracy. Come work with me!

democracyfund.applytojob.com/apply/9XIZ5Wlm…

It is with trepidation that I've entered the vibecession debate. I actually think there's a resolution to this debate. Maybe. Here's a thread.

goodauthority.org/news/the-puzzl…

Data point in favor of 'early polling today should be more accurate relative to early polling in the past'.

The 2020 election was the first time a majority of voters reported knowing who they were voting for all along. Expecting the same this time around. (h/t American National Election Studies (ANES))