I've added another way for you to support Election Predictor.

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Will be interesting to see how Dorset Green Party votes get redistributed this time around, since they aren't fielding a candidate in Dorset PCC Election, 2024. Election Predictor British Electoral Politics Dorset Elects: BCP 2023

Mid Dunbartonshire General Election prediction:

Lib Dems 33.8% (-0.7%)
SNP 32.5% (-5.8%)
Labour 15.0% (+4.7%)
Conservative 12.6% (-1.6%)
Green 2.4% (+0.8%)
Reform UK 2.1% (new)
Others 1.6%

Prediction: Lib Dem GAIN from SNP

Changes compared to 2019 notional result

Election Predictor twitter.com/BylinesEast/st…

I can absolutely see Biden's approval of a TikTok ban (and Trump's u-turn on the issue) mobilising the youngest eligible voters in November to do the inconceivable: vote for Trump.

2024 looks like it could reach an interesting conclusion

reuters.com/world/us/trump…

Election Predictor It's early days but the online betting is already showing the Lib Dems as favorites to take this constituency

smarkets.com/listing/politi…

My Welsh GE regression model's General Election projection as at 25/04/2024

Labour 27 seats (+9)
Plaid Cymru 3 seats (+1)
Lib Dems 1 seat (+1)
Conservatives 1 seat (-11)

Changes compared to 2019 GE notional results in Wales

Many thanks to MapChart for the map

Election Predictor I don't see that happening

Election Predictor bbc.com/news/uk-politi…

Election Predictor Mo. Did you predict our Labour victories in Wealden? We have our first ever seats here in 50 years!

Here's some 'predictions' based on averaging & adjusting YG poll before every local Post-'16, then calculating error & transfer ratios. Not quite as refined as the AMAZING work done by Election Predictor or Election Maps UK - Check 'em out!

#LocalElections2023 #Elections2023 #Locals

Election Predictor Would be good if labour and Lib Dems drop out of this one (if it really is so tight) and coalesce behind the geeens

Election Predictor Is Mid Dumbartonshire a lunatic asylum?

Version 1.0 of my Scottish General Election predictor is now live!

As with my Welsh prediction model, it is a regression model. This model accounts for Scottish opinion polls, local election results and constituency demographics.

Election Predictor Ben Fair enough

Election Predictor Need labour to not put a candidate up

Election Predictor This is right on the money although Lib Dem win will be slightly bigger. Expect massive Tory tactical voting.

Election Predictor Carla Denyer would be a superb MP. Maybe if Labour confirmed they would restore our right to protest or scrap the Rwanda scheme, then maybe people wouldn't see them as 'a less worse Tory party'.

Regression modelling projects a VERY interesting result

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber GE prediction

SNP 40% (-4.1%)
Labour 27% (+20.3%)
Conservative 20% (-14%)
LD 8.1% (-6.9%)
Grn 1.7% (new)
ReformUK 1.6% (new)
Others 1.6%

SNP HOLD

Changes compared w/ 2019 notional result