The ratings you get when you only meet one of your five key pledges ⬇️

Labour leads by 23%.

Westminster VI (5 May):

Labour 44% (-1)
Conservative 21% (-1)
Reform UK 15% (+1)
Liberal Democrat 9% (–)
Green 5% (-1)
Scottish National Party 3% (–)
Other 1% (-1)

Changes +/- 28 April

redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voti…

Tomorrow is my debate on the 'True Cost of Illegal Migration'. Thanks to Suella Braverman MP Robert Jenrick and the other MPs who co-sponsored. You can watch the debate online at the times below.

Muslim Vote put pressure on Starmer. Within approx 4 hours he starts to give ground.
Welcome to the future.

If the Conservative Parliamentary Party includes MPs who are more comfortable with Labour ideology than conservatism - as it very obviously does - then they should be in the Labour Party. Personally, to be honest, I would also prefer they *were* on Labour benches rather than…

BBC R4 news just said King Charles is 'celebrating his first anniversary as monarch'. Err....no. He's been King since Sept 2022. It's just the first anniversary of the Coronation. Poor.

Even though we could argue that Boris is, in fact, wet, he was framed as hard right by the media, and fought the election on getting Brexit done which was seen as borderline fascist by the centre, so the point still stands.

The Conservative Party itself is a coalition of chaos. Incoherent, opportunist splicing together of people who believe opposite things to each other on most major issues. Result is unpredictable learner driving: bunny-hopping along the road, 18-point turns, dented lamposts etc.

'Give us your major cities,' essentially.

Steve Davis chips in with some cueing tips 🤣🤣🤣

#BBCSnooker #WorldSnookerChampionship

Little poll for Spurs fans: Assuming Arsenal win at Man Utd on May 12, who will you want to win the Spurs v Man City game on May 14?

Little poll for Spurs fans: Assuming Arsenal win at Man Utd on May 12, who will you want to win the Spurs v Man City game on May 14?

Laws can be changed, courts can be convened, immigration controls can be implemented, economic booms can be unleashed, housing can be built and spaceships can travel to Mars.

Nothing is static. Nothing is lost. Everything can change.

Why do people think Boris is right wing?

He showed the UK time and time again he was in fact a liberal.

Aggregate Result in the 197 Wards where all 5 Major Parties Stood:

🌹 LAB: 35.7%
🌳 CON: 22.9%
🔶 LDM: 13.8%
🌍 GRN: 10.8%
➡️ RFM: 9.6%

Looks like the Reform polling numbers are real, even if they can't convert it into seats.

#Sindo Poll 🇮🇪

Do you believe there should be checkpoints at the border with Northern Ireland to limit the number of asylum-seekers coming from the U.K.?

52% of Sinn Fein voters said yes
49% of Fine Gael voters said yes
47% of Fianna Fáil voters said yes

Followers of belief system Islam have - as a cohort - among the lowest rates of labour market participation of any faith or identity group. A clear negative outlier. OTOH, it is also right to say that most Muslims do work.

Home Office doing propaganda ops for the French police now ⬇️

Pining for a centre that is no longer there I am afraid - and it hasn’t been there in the conventional for quite some time. Majorities in Western societies are now and for the foreseeable future, also going to be found at either end of the polarisation

You were pretty much bang on in your forecast Allison Pearson