Metaculus
@metaculus
Metaculus is a forecasting platform that optimally aggregates quantitative predictions of future events.
News & Announcements: metaculus.com/news/
ID: 4117238354
http://metaculus.com 03-11-2015 22:06:17
3,3K Tweet
11,11K Followers
698 Following
Will Knight
@willknight
I write about AI and related stuff for WIRED. signal = wak.01 (no pr pitches pls). newsletter = wired.com/newsletter/fas…
Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸
@pmarca
Everything's computer.
Robin Hanson
@robinhanson
Let’s skip witty banter & talk deep Qs. Books: ageofem.com elephantinthebrain.com Chief Scientist @_futarchy Advisor @MetaDAOProject @butterygg
Jane Coaston 🏔️
@janecoaston
Host of @crookedmedia’s What A Day. @nytimes. @CNN. Go Blue means Go the University of Michigan.
Michael Nielsen
@michael_nielsen
Searching for the numinous 🇦🇺 🇨🇦, currently live in 🇺🇸 Research @AsteraInstitute michaelnotebook.com
Josh Barro
@jbarro
I write a newsletter (at joshbarro.com) & I co-host serioustrouble.show w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot com
Tyler Alterman
@tyleralterman
Breathe in the evening sun. Breathe out the doing of taxes. Venture culturalist. Epistemic status: Oboe. University: @fractal_nyc Sci-fi/fantasy: @psychofauna
Kevin Roose
@kevinroose
NYT tech columnist, Hard Fork co-host, high-perplexity language model
David Manheim
@davidmanheim
Lecturer @TechnionLive, founder @alter_org_il, emeritus @superforecaster, PhD @PardeeRAND Optimistic on AI, pessimistic on humanity managing the risks well.
Dustin Moskovitz
@moskov
Peter Wildeford 🇺🇸🚀
@peterwildeford
Globally ranked top 20 forecaster 🎯 AI is getting powerful. Society isn’t prepared. Working at @IAPSai to shape AI for prosperity and human freedom.
Armand Domalewski
@armanddoma
Co-Founder, @YIMBYDems, (formerly @yimbysforharris)
Joscha Bach
@plinz
FOLLOWS YOU. Artificial Intelligence, Cognitive Architectures, Computation. The goal is integrity, not conformity. Liquid.ai
Jason Abaluck
@jabaluck
Professor of Economics at Yale SOM
Derek Thompson
@dkthomp
Writer @TheAtlantic. "Plain English" podcast host @Ringer. Co-author of Abundance.
Rob Wiblin
@robertwiblin
Host of the 80,000 Hours Podcast. Exploring the inviolate sphere of ideas one interview at a time: 80000hours.org/podcast/
Alec Stapp
@alecstapp
Co-founder @IFP, an innovation policy think tank
Anders Sandberg
@anderssandberg
Academic jack-of-all-trades.
Geoffrey Irving
@geoffreyirving
Chief Scientist at the UK AI Security Institute (AISI). Previously DeepMind, OpenAI, Google Brain, etc.
Richard Ngo
@richardmcngo
studying AI and trust. ex @openai/@googledeepmind, now thinking in public.
Rob Miles (in SF)
@robertskmiles
Explaining AI Alignment to anyone who'll stand still for long enough, on YouTube and Discord. Music, movies, microcode, and high-speed pizza delivery
Jay Baxter
@_jaybaxter_
@CommunityNotes Founding ML Lead / Sr. Staff ML Eng @X. Built BayesDB @MIT
Alex Tabarrok
@atabarrok
Prof of economics at George Mason, co-founder of the online education platform MRU.org. Advisor to firms, incl MultiversX, TEAL, Bluechip, 0L Network +
Sean McElwee
@seanmcelwee
Founder of Positive Sum Strategies. Founded @DataProgress. I work with companies and non-profits to achieve ambitious policy goals. seanadrianmc @ gmail
Galen Druke
@galendruke
Creating a new podcast at GDPOLITICS.com. Go subscribe there and wherever you get your podcasts! Formerly host & producer of the 538 Politics podcast.
Jerusalem
@jerusalemdemsas
yes, like the city | staff writer @TheAtlantic | host of Good on Paper podcast | [email protected] | she/her
Ben is ✈️ to Manifest (97%)
@benshindel
materials scientist, forecasting hobbyist, all tweets should be assumed to be (1) about mice unless stated otherwise & (2) my opinions, not those of my employer
Spencer Greenberg 🔍
@spencrgreenberg
A mathematician/entrepreneur in social science. Tweets about psychology, society, rationality, tech, science, and philosophy. Founder of ClearerThinking.org
Deric Cheng
@0xderic
Researching a new AGI Social Contract & post-AI economic policies. @CvgAnalysis @alchemy 5th SWE | @google research | @web3university founder
Tharin
@tharin_p
writer | researcher | fellow @tarbell_fellows @TIME | thoughts and feelings my own, of course
Aella
@aella_girl
⚜️whorelord⚜️, vexworker, survey artist, way too earnest. knowingless.com
Nathan is in SF (briefly) 🔍
@nathanpmyoung
Geopolitics, prediction markets, flawed but improving. Capital case tweets are sincere, others less so. I like most people when I meet them.
roon
@tszzl
fellow creators the creator seeks
David Duvenaud
@davidduvenaud
Machine learning prof @UofT. Former team lead at Anthropic. Working on generative models, inference, & latent structure.
Aric Floyd
@aricfloyd
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️
@esyudkowsky
The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.
Stefan Schubert
@stefanfschubert
Effective Altruism and the Human Mind (with @LuciusCaviola) is available for free at: academic.oup.com/book/56384
Harlan Stewart
@humanharlan
Humanity is great and I want it to keep existing. Comms at @MIRIBerkeley. Former math teacher. Enjoyer of sci-fi, games, forecasting, psychology. Views my own.
Lulu Cheng Meservey
@lulumeservey
Founder of ROSTRA. Ex-Activision and Substack. “Meservey isn’t your typical flack.” -The Information. Writing getflack.com
Shayne Coplan 🦅
@shayne_coplan
CEO @Polymarket. Ethereum since ’14. I love music and collect art.
Kelsey Piper
@kelseytuoc
Senior writer at Vox's Future Perfect. We're not doomed, we just have a big to-do list.
Linch
@linchzhang
Founder and CEO, Open Asteroid Impact (openasteroidimpact.org). April 1st Launch! Court jester of the apocalypse
Agnese Rozite
@builtbyagnese
Founder & multi-venture builder | betting on live commerce and diving into prediction markets atm
PROPHET - Geopolitics & Prediction Markets
@prophet_notes
Geopolitics | Prediction Markets | Economy | If you follow the herd you are sure to get slaughtered
Mantic
@_mantic_ai
Mantic is an AI research and product company focussed on judgmental forecasting.
The Argument
@theargumentmag
Join us. We're Libbing Out.
Lightning Rod Labs
@lightningrodai
⚡️ Training AI to predict the future ⚡️
Prophet Arena
@prophetarena
The AI benchmark for predictive intelligence, advancing collective foresight via human–AI collaboration, from SIGMA Lab @UChicagoCS.
Romeo Dean
@romeovdean
Harvard CS | @AI_Futures_
Pratik Chougule
@pjchougule
Executive Director, @CoalitionPolFor. Host, @SSGamblers. Author of book American Universities in the Middle East and U.S. Foreign Policy.
Perplexity
@perplexity_ai
Curiosity changes everything. Download our free app on iOS, Mac, Windows, and Android: pplx.ai/download
Ask Perplexity
@askperplexity
Not your father's search engine. Answering all of your questions on X: 1️⃣ Ask a question | 2️⃣ Tag me at the end | 3️⃣ Get answers.
Steven Adler
@sjgadler
ex-@OpenAI researcher & TPM (safety evaluations, AGI readiness, product safety lead, etc). Follow me on Substack: stevenadler.substack.com
Johnny Caffeine
@johnny_caffeine
Questions moderator at Metaculus.com. Season 4 Superforecaster Good Judgment Project. Pro forecaster at infer-pub.com
Janna
@_jannalulu
just another stochastic parrot, evals @ featherless.ai, economics PhD candidate @GeorgeMasonU, Hayek fellow @mercatus, emergent ventures
Kat Woods ⏸️ 🔶
@kat__woods
AI could be the best or worst technology we ever invent. Let's make it go well. Co-founder of Nonlinear & CE. Coaching & career advice: t.ly/k_p7g
Daniel Kokotajlo
@dkokotajlo
Infinite Games | Subnet 6
@playinfgames
Predict the Future before they do.
adjacent
@adjacent___
@AdjacentNews
Pivotal Research
@pivotal_org
Reducing global catastrophic risks from emerging technologies. Accepting late applications until Sun. 13. April (23:59 UTC) → pivo.tl/fellowship
Data for Progress
@dataprogress
Data movements trust. Progressive policy and polling organization.
0xperp
@0xperp
@adjacent___
Neel Nanda
@neelnanda5
Mechanistic Interpretability lead DeepMind. Formerly @AnthropicAI, independent. In this to reduce AI X-risk. Neural networks can be understood, let's go do it!
Existential Hope
@hopeexistential
Driving positive futures for humanity. We curate high-impact sci-tech resources, interview experts, and host events to foster collaboration. #Xhope 🌟
AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
@axrpodcast
Broadcasting interviews with AI researchers about their work to reduce existential risk since 2020. Store: store.axrp.net Patreon: patreon.com/axrpodcast
Convergence Analysis
@cvganalysis
Designing a safe and flourishing future for humanity in a world with transformative AI
Jake Eaton
@jkeatn
editor in the loop @asteriskmgzn
Bright Line Watch
@brightlinewatch
An initiative to monitor democratic practices in the U.S. and call attention to threats to American democracy.
Kalshi
@kalshi
Trade on anything in all 50 states: politics, sports, entertainment, crypto, weather, and so much more. For support: @KalshiSupport
Star Spangled Gamblers
@ssgamblers
A podcast on betting and winning real money on politics.