Trump has picked the primary sponsor of a national ban on trans care, done through a ban on teaching about gender affirming care in higher education (including medical schools), JD Vance as the vice president. He also would institute a national youth care ban.

uh you guys Mark Cuban responded to our new EPI report and it was extremely substantive???

"He wouldn't let go" apnews.com/article/gaza-w…

Move in the Russell 2000 since CPI has been crazy

TFW it's the first coffee break at the "Demographic Change In Europe" conference and it's quickly dawning on you that these guys are not going to be talking about pensions regulation

As Netanyahu travels to Washington, Israeli troops fire on an aid convoy traveling along an agreed-upon route inside Gaza, per the UN, and the IDF orders Palestinian civilians to leave an area previously designated as a safe zone, reports Louisa Loveluck and Hajar Harb

the real Trump trade!

NEW: JD Vance repeatedly indicated in 2016 that he believed Trump committed repeated sexual assault, questioned Trump’s credibility over his accusers and even tweeted, “What percentage of the American population has Donald J. Trump sexually assaulted?” amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/07/23…

Lex Greensill blew over £60k on legal fees trying to stop the FT obtaining a document summarising serious allegations of misconduct. He also tried to stick us with his ludicrous bill. So it would be a real shame if you now read the document in full 👇🏻 ft.com/content/0c7063…

So many reasons why rich countries have to shoulder the costs of climate change mitigation for the world, one we don’t talk about enough: borrowing costs.

China's cement boom is over. That's like "if France, or Taiwan, or the United Arab Emirates eliminated their carbon dioxide emissions in a couple of years," writes David Fickling bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…

A big move from the new government: "The UK will likely announce it will suspend issuing export licenses for arms sales to Israel in the coming days, officials in Jerusalem said on Monday." ynetnews.com/article/b156d1…

My Alphaville post from Friday about last week's paper on "activist Treasury issuance" ft.com/content/f0f62f…

Ah I forgot Harry Enten has the best voice in the world

New model from Nate Silver with Harris v. Trump just published:

Once again, our forecast came in eerily close to prediction markets! (Harris 38% Silver Bulletin vs 39% Polymarket). For further detail, please subscribe—this was a lot of work! One further post on methodology coming later today or tomorrow, but it's basically the same model.

This column was mostly A Edgecliffe-Johnson's idea. We stole it.

Very nice article from FT Alphaville on the "stealth QE" paper.

Because the Fed failed to move yesterday, the ongoing deterioration in the economic data as evidenced by today’s rising initial jobless claims, Low unit labor costs, and abrupt slowing in global manufacturing activity suggest that we are getting close to a point where bad