Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profileg
Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social

@kabir_here

@CBSNews Elections & Data Analytics | @Princeton political science PhD | https://t.co/QJs3qzWvH2

ID:845401275189604355

linkhttp://www.kabirkhanna.com calendar_today24-03-2017 22:25:45

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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Noticeable uptick in sympathy with Palestinian people and decrease in support for arming Israel, especially among Democrats here

cbsnews.com/news/biden-isr…

Survey fielded just before news of Iran attack

Noticeable uptick in sympathy with Palestinian people and decrease in support for arming Israel, especially among Democrats here cbsnews.com/news/biden-isr… Survey fielded just before news of Iran attack
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CBS News Poll(@CBSNewsPoll) 's Twitter Profile Photo

*New*
CBS News Poll: How Ukraine Aid Views Are Shaped by Cold War memories, partisanship…and Donald Trump

Views also connect to U.S. role in the world; Reps trust Trump over the Pentagon for information tinyurl.com/3m9ewxky

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John Sides(@johnmsides) 's Twitter Profile Photo

In the most recent update, using data from 1953-2021, macropartisanship depends most strongly on presidential approval.

doi.org/10.1017/S15375…

When the president is less popular, PID shifts toward the other party. So PID shifts to GOP as Biden's approval rating drops.

In the most recent update, using data from 1953-2021, macropartisanship depends most strongly on presidential approval. doi.org/10.1017/S15375… When the president is less popular, PID shifts toward the other party. So PID shifts to GOP as Biden's approval rating drops.
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Pew Research Center(@pewresearch) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Education and partisanship: The share of voters with a four-year bachelor’s degree keeps increasing, reaching 40% in 2023. And the gap in partisanship between voters with and without a college degree continues to grow, especially among White voters.

Education and partisanship: The share of voters with a four-year bachelor’s degree keeps increasing, reaching 40% in 2023. And the gap in partisanship between voters with and without a college degree continues to grow, especially among White voters.
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Our polling last year found two-thirds majority wanting abortion pill Mifepristone to remain available in states with legal abortion, amid concerns among many women that reproductive health care is becoming harder in U.S.

More here: cbsnews.com/news/abortion-…

Our polling last year found two-thirds majority wanting abortion pill Mifepristone to remain available in states with legal abortion, amid concerns among many women that reproductive health care is becoming harder in U.S. More here: cbsnews.com/news/abortion-…
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

CBS News projects Bernie Moreno wins Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Ohio

Moreno faces Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown in the general election, in what is shaping up to be a competitive race

CBS News projects Bernie Moreno wins Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Ohio Moreno faces Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown in the general election, in what is shaping up to be a competitive race
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Many counties have reported Election Day votes now

And in those that appear to have reported significant chunks of both advance and E-Day ballots, Moreno is doing much better among the E-Day voters (by double digits)

We expect his current margin of almost 14K votes to increase

Many counties have reported Election Day votes now And in those that appear to have reported significant chunks of both advance and E-Day ballots, Moreno is doing much better among the E-Day voters (by double digits) We expect his current margin of almost 14K votes to increase
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Dolan narrowly ahead of Moreno in tabulated vote so far, but this mainly reflects votes cast *before* today...

You would rather be Moreno, who is likely to retake lead when more Election-Day votes are reported tonight

Dolan narrowly ahead of Moreno in tabulated vote so far, but this mainly reflects votes cast *before* today... You would rather be Moreno, who is likely to retake lead when more Election-Day votes are reported tonight #OHSen
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

And relatedly, only around a third of Ohio Republican primary voters say Biden won presidency legitimately in 2020

It's something we've seen again and again throughout GOP primaries — proportion was similar in the Iowa, California, North Carolina, and South Carolina GOP contests

And relatedly, only around a third of Ohio Republican primary voters say Biden won presidency legitimately in 2020 It's something we've seen again and again throughout GOP primaries — proportion was similar in the Iowa, California, North Carolina, and South Carolina GOP contests
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Most Ohio Republican primary voters say it's important that the state's next U.S. Senator show their support for Donald Trump, according to our early exit poll data there

(Note: estimates may change a bit as more data arrives)

Most Ohio Republican primary voters say it's important that the state's next U.S. Senator show their support for Donald Trump, according to our early exit poll data there (Note: estimates may change a bit as more data arrives)
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Some of our recent polling suggests it’s more of the former…

Retrospective evaluations of economy under Trump are quite positive — 2020 pandemic downturn looks like it’s being discounted by much of the public today

Some of our recent polling suggests it’s more of the former… Retrospective evaluations of economy under Trump are quite positive — 2020 pandemic downturn looks like it’s being discounted by much of the public today
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

BREAKING: CBS News estimates that Donald Trump is Republican Party's presumptive nominee for president in 2024

He has secured enough delegates to be nominated at GOP convention in Milwaukee this summer

BREAKING: CBS News estimates that Donald Trump is Republican Party's presumptive nominee for president in 2024 He has secured enough delegates to be nominated at GOP convention in Milwaukee this summer #DataDesk
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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Estimate informed by our Georgia voter poll, in which Biden has commanding lead w/ Democratic primary voters (over 90% support statewide)

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Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social(@kabir_here) 's Twitter Profile Photo

BREAKING: CBS News estimates that Joe Biden is the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee for president

He has now secured enough delegates to be nominated at the party convention this summer

BREAKING: CBS News estimates that Joe Biden is the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee for president He has now secured enough delegates to be nominated at the party convention this summer #DataDesk
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