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3 statements about trade that are not in tension: 1. The Trump tariffs are likely going to be massively disruptive. 2. Mainstream GE trade models predict tiny welfare gains from trade. Caliendo and Parro (2014) estimate US welfare gains from NAFTA to be 0.08%. 3. These

Just for context, the best-cited estimate for NAFTA’s welfare gains to the US is 0.08% (Caliendo and Parro 2014).

Anyone have any recs for recent papers on urban planning in developing countries? Or urbanization in developing countries more broadly? Know there was a bit of a lit on FARs in Indian cities. Also interested in stuff like Harari (2020).

It's that time of the year: EVERYTHING YOU MIGHT HAVE MISSED IN THE FLURRY OF PRE-WORLD BANK/IMF SPRING MEETINGS RELEASES. It's been on the quiet side this year w/ the institutions in limbo, but still important news on: -new World Bank strategy -IMF change in tone -debt + more

📢Heavily revised working paper on AI + Zoning —  with AlexBartik and Daniel Milo, we have a new draft of our paper which expands on our method to understand housing regulations with AI. Incudes a new public data release with more housing regulation data:

A lot to dissect here -- AI-generated ersatz Studio Ghibli deployed to depict right-coded antiglobalist retvrn nostalgia

Finally properly moved into DC! Hmu if you'd like to hang out or grab a coffee. (Pic of Bagel is from slightly better weather.)

Anyone have strong opinions about Rosamund Bartlett vs. Pevear and Volokhonsky for reading Anna Karenina?

Entirely separate from the content, this chart might have the lowest data-to-ink ratio I've ever seen

🚨 I4R released my experiment with a new academic-literary form, a “replication opinion.” I made myself judge in a debate and wrote an opinion that is more credible than either party could muster. Piece: econstor.eu/handle/10419/3… Post: davidroodman.com/blog/2025/05/0… 🧵 follows

Found in a Columbia Heights Little Free Library. Taking notes.

Extremely excited to have Justin Sandefur officially joining Open Philanthropy to lead our work on economic growth in LMICs! Lots of opportunities and challenges ahead and I think Justin will do a great job leading this work.

What is it with this town and LinkedIn?

There are 277,000 Chinese students at US universities. Their intellectual, economic, and social contributions to this country are beyond measure. If we “aggressively revoke” Chinese student visas, this will hurt us as much as it hurts them.

Excited to finally have this out in the world: brennancenter.org/media/14001/do…! Today, Brennan Center, with Cato Institute and professors Ilya Somin and John Dehn, filed an amicus brief in support of ACLU's case against Trump's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act. /1

SB 79 PASSES OUT OF THE CALIFORNIA SENATE! 🎉🥑

New CGD policy paper by me: China's Investment Pivot and Africa’s Industrial Prospects: Any Hope for African “Flying Geese”? Afraid TLDR is 'long shot.' Short thread: Chinese investment in Africa is evolving from large scale infrastructure toward small scale manufacturing....

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