There is SO much cool stuff here.

This election truly is THE most important election of our lifetime -- and I mean this as someone who generally poo-poo's that kind of thing.

Trump says he wants to let states “monitor women's pregnancies so they can know if they've gotten an abortion”

The reduction of child mortality is one of the big achievements of our time.

But it is hard to celebrate something that is *not* happening. So, for my new article, I turned things around.

👇This is the main chart and takeaway.

Here is the article: ourworldindata.org/children-saved…

We’re hiring Senior Researchers to lead ambitious research agendas and inform high-impact grantmaking.

The role is globally remote-eligible, $200k-$221k compensation.

Please apply if you’re interested, or share this post with others in your network!
bit.ly/42WSIl5

I've been working on a new product: MakeDistribution.com!

It's the best solution to creating a subjective probability distribution, i.e. one that reflects human judgement rather than being fit to data.

Sounds simple, but most existing solutions have important flaws (1/15)

Excited to share what I've been up to this year!

On the cover of this week's The Economist is a 6-part special report on India’s economy by Tom Easton+me. It asks

- What it would take for India beat 6% growth?
- And is Modi up to the task?

🧵on the key arguments 1/

LEEP is hiring a Director of Research and Strategy! Take a look to find out more and to apply. leadelimination.org/jobs/

No one has sent me a reference yet, so maybe this is a good, easy paper or policy brief to write!

We're still hiring Senior Researchers at GiveWell, and a recently updated JD is here: givewell.org/about/jobs/sen…

Please apply (no deadline but the sooner, the better) and share with people who'd be a great fit!

Has anyone calculated the deadweight loss from housing supply restrictions on the consumption side (i.e. people would like more square footage in high demand cities but can't get it)? Weirdly, I have trouble finding a reference (more exists on the labor market side).

FTC should focus more on hospitals!

Still mad that it’s been out there that cream cheese has no calcium for ages but we don’t have a “cream cheese with added calcium” brand

Interesting story about local media in Somalia (though violence seems to be up, with government taking on Al Shabaab more intensely) nytimes.com/2024/04/19/wor…

Pretty incontrovertible argument via Nicole: Had NYC kept vehicles with 5 or more speed- or red-light tickets off the roads in 2022, as many as 26 lives could have been saved, out of the total of 142 lives lost, reducing the death toll by 18%. vitalcitynyc.org/articles/saved…

I think this is a cool report — I think taking theoretical ideas and trying to make them very specific (“here’s what I would literally do if I believed that”) is underrated as a way to really understand the claims being made

This Financial Times piece is the best examination of US crash deaths that I've seen in ages.

The US is so bad at this: 'Even after adjusting for distance driven, US fatality rates remain 2x the rich-world average.'

Here's a quick 🧵 to share insights (paywall).

ft.com/content/9c936d…

Haven't fully fact checked this myself but 'blood products are a top 20 export for the US' is pretty wild worksinprogress.co/issue/compensa…