An information ‘black hole’ obscures our understanding of security in #Tibet. Our new research, out today, documents the detention landscape across the whole region. You can find the report here: ow.ly/aB9z50PmC4I

Great attending DSEI 2023 with RAND Europe to support the research of the Centre of Defence Economics and Acquisition and RAND’s work in defence and security more broadly. Panels on autonomy and AI in the navy and the global combat air programme left much to follow up on!

New RAND report concludes “further deliberate escalation, including Russian nuclear escalation, is highly plausible” in Ukraine war. rand.org/content/dam/ra… Caution: It concludes escalation is highly plausible, not necessarily nuclear escalation. More rand.org/content/dam/ra…

OK, so UK will be in some form of peer shooting war within 5yrs. Bearing in mind RN ships are being tied up because of lack of crew (not just UK BTW), FF/DD generation is pretty dire, the Army cannot put a single credible armd/AI bgde into the field... thetimes.co.uk/article/uk-str…

We believe that robust evidence is vital to addressing urgent concerns for #Europe and the world, and our research helps shape policy and practice for the public good. Out now, our review of the year shines a light on our work. 💡 Read 'Spotlight' now: rand.org/content/dam/ra…

Late to this good (and slickly designed) Council on Foreign Relations study on the sizable challenges the PLA would confront if it attempts a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. A few brief comments, however (1/5) cfr.org/article/why-ch…

Clear-eyed analysis with input from RAND research.

Day one of #LDC2024. Fantastic sessions from former Secretaries of State for Defence, survivors of terrorism, and panels on land warfare and the war in Ukraine. It also provided a fascinating insight into the ongoing doctoral work in the war studies department at KCL.

The Tony Blair Institute (Tony Blair Institute for Global Change) has a new report out on UK defence policy. Among the recs: "explore a joint UK-EU defence-capability review...and the UK’s potential participation in the European Defence Fund." institute.global/insights/geopo…

If NATO doesn't adapt quickly, RAND Europe experts warn, then the alliance risks being inadequately prepared to operate in a more extreme and volatile climate. bit.ly/3xo41s1

As Russia's invasion of Ukraine reshapes NATO strategy in Eastern Europe, mounting tensions are also developing in the Arctic. NATO could capitalise on its enlargement in this "vast and austere" region and secure its northern flank. Read our latest blog: rand.org/pubs/commentar…

Rebecca Lucas and I have addressed the joint challenge of critical raw materials supply for the defence industrial base as part of the RAND blog series marking the alliance’s 75th anniversary in July.

There are growing threats to the critical raw materials that NATO members need to sustain their militaries, defense industries, and wider economies. Securing the supply of these materials is vital to NATO's goals, say Daniel Hill and Rebecca Lucas. bit.ly/4eQOyBE

'The new government will need to set a clearer course on the biggest geopolitical challenge of our time: how to manage the West’s relationship with China' writes Malcolm Chalmers in the latest #RUSICommentary #UKElection2024 #ElectionResults bit.ly/4eQJ0qr

In the face of Western economic pressure, #Russia is relying on gold to: 🏃Evade #sanctions 💰Prop up its economy 🚢Bolster international trade Our new report investigates how Russia is using gold during its war in #Ukraine: rand.org/pubs/research_…