NYC politics/polling enthusiasts: don't miss NYAAPOR's upcoming book club / talk / happy hour this coming Tuesday at 6:30 in Midtown. Featuring Jason Barabas on the bridge between polling and democratic representation. Register here✨: tinyurl.com/nyaapor-poq

⏰Alarmed by polls reported in the The New York Times suggesting that millions support political violence? Those estimates are inflated. New working paper: surveys provide imprecise estimates of how many think political violence is justified; high-quality surveys are consistent with <1%.

Excited to kick off NYAAPOR 's fall series on public opinion/elections/data science: in two weeks, Eunji Kim will lead an in-person discussion of her amazing POQ using Yelp reviews to measure anti-Chinese bias during the pandemic. NYC-area folks, RSVP in the reply!

Excited for this opportunity to talk about using Yelp restaurant reviews to quantify racial bias! 🥡 doi.org/10.1093/poq/nf…

if you don't like moo deng you're just being hippo critical

Next week, I'll be teaching an aapor short course on LLMs and surveys with my brilliant colleague Josh Lerner. Excited to share what we (NORC) have learned and to take stock of the amazing methods breakthroughs of Yamil Ricardo Velez, Lisa Argyle, Tom Costello and many others 🤖📝

Frightening. Jake Tapper begins a segment on AI generated deepfakes with a deepfake video of himself. (Video: CNN)

📢 Don't forget about our meetup w/ NYAAPOR TOMORROW (Tues, 10/15)! You'll hear 3 lightning talks from Manu Singh Andy Timm Anusha Nat about Elections & Public Opinion! ⚡ There's still time to RSVP➡️ nyhackr.org 👏Thanks to NYU PRIISM Center for hosting! #rstats

I'm excited to be hosting NYAAPOR's (virtual) pre-election roundtable on October 28th (a week before Election / National Nail Biting day). We're joined by an illustrious group of experts: Ryan Enos (Inactive Account) , Natalie Jackson, Karthick Ramakrishnan, and Ruth Igielnik. Don't miss out! (RSVP 👇)

Can developers compensate nearby residents to win support for their housing projects? In a new JPublicPolicy article, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner and I unpack how compensation works, when it fails, and what that teaches us about symbolic attitudes and housing policy. 1/11

🚨How should we design surveys to capture opinion in fast-changing contexts or within hard-to-reach communities? 🚨 My paper, conditionally accepted at @PolAnalysis, develops a method that leverages LLMs and adaptive algorithms to construct surveys that evolve with user input.