Senate numbers in the new YouGov polls: AZ: Gallego (D) up 50% to 42% MI: Slotkin (D) up 50% to 39% NV: Rosen (D) up 51% to 39% PA: Casey (D) up 52% to 41% WI: Baldwin (D) up 49% to 41%

Perfect

“Sanewashing” is a brilliant term

Just called the numbers listed for Chief John Chell to figure out if some reporting was accurate about today's federal activity and got his wife by accident. Chief calls me back and I explain why I'm calling He hands the phone to DCPI Sheppard, who calls me a "fucking scumbag."

Harris’ campaign is imploding before our very eyes. Today alone, non-partisan polls had her…(checks notes)… +3 nationally (Emerson) +5 in MI (YouGov) +3 in NV (YouGov) +1 in PA (YouGov) +3 in WI (YouGov) Improving on Biden’s 2020 showing in MT by 1 pt (AARP) What a disaster.

Oh and: +3 nationally (Morning Consult) Matching Biden’s 2020 performance in AK in an *internal Republican poll* Might as well just give up now

Glad Wesleyan University’s Michael S Roth could join Molly Jong-Fast today: “We should be encouraging students and faculty to be engaged in the public sphere…we need them to get involved in politics…it’s going to be worse if young people turn their backs on politics.” podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fas…

Alternatively, you could just not cherry pick numbers and point out that — when leaners are pushed — Emerson’s last poll had her up 4.6 points and this one has her up by 3.7 points. So a drop of 0.9 points. But that probably doesn’t get as much engagement on here so I get it.

June 2024: The Kremlin gets what it paid for. Lee introduces a resolution to condemn the Biden administration's "unconstitutional security guarantees to Ukraine." And that, friends, is how foreign influence operations work.

Trump spoke at length today about policy issue __________. With the context of his entire answer, can you guess what that issue is?

Amazing levels of sanewashing here.

2/ honestly the only shocker here is that one of them isn't Corey. If I were him honestly I'd worry about brand damage not having gotten violent in this situation. But I guess he's still transitioning back into the campaign.

Polls as propaganda

Get ready to hear this quote repeated, again and again.

School shootings are a fact of American life, they are not a fact of British life or French life or Canadian life or Norwegian life ….

The two staffers, according to a source with knowledge of the incident, are deputy campaign manager Justin Caporale and Michel Picard, a member of Trump’s advance team.

So in Nate Silver's own average of polls in Michigan, VP Harris is up by 2 pts. Yet he gives both Trump and Harris 50/50 odds of winning the state. In NV, he has Harris up by 1.2%. So, naturally, he says Trump has a 57% chance of winning. Can someone explain this to me?

a picture of the guy who says shootings are a "fact of life"

School Shootings ‘A Fact of Life,’ Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens