#Iowa #corn weighted drought was not eliminated, but it was substantially reduced because of recent rain.

Substantial rain totals across core #corn and #soybean growing areas over the prior 14 and 30-days.
Our analysis at hubs.li/Q02wFqYn0 suggests further #drought cat declines if not elimination in NE Iowa.

We forecast grain yields for grain traders: hubs.li/Q02wFr3F0

In 2019, US corn experienced precip-induced planting (and emerging) delays, resulting in a yield below trend.

So, we compare 2019 corn accum precip to 2024 from April. The EURO fcsts from both years are shown, as are all prior years from 1981.

Try us: bit.ly/2GrDKOg

Lots of cool water appearing now in the eastern equatorial Pacific, and the Niño3 SST index (90-150°W) has just turned negative. Here comes La Niña.

Soybeans was off to very early planting progress but has been waylaid by the rainfall. It's still early, however, relative to prior years.

Today's 00Z Euro 14-day forecast is slightly wetter in Iowa than yesterday's run. The forecast shows rain today before settling down.

The noticeable change in the slope of the 2024 US #corn planted progress line means planting is delayed.

The noticeable change in the slope of the 2024 US #corn planted progress line means planting is delayed.

1-4 in of rain fell across US #corn regions over the prior 7 days. Some counties had >500% of normal precip. Planting delays may be evident in today's report. We've earlier found -4 bpa per 10 days of delay.

Crop Yield Fcsts for Grain Trading: hubs.li/Q02w7yqQ0

A comparison of precipitation from several wx models (incl the EC AI-based model) for the next 7-days. Iowa precipitation is forecast to be below normal. Fcsts for following next business week suggest much drier conditions.
#corn #soybeans #agwx #oatt

Today's 00Z EC US #corn & #soybean 14 day precipitation forecast shows a substantial decline from ystrday's fcst. Corn is down 17% and soybeans 19% on a % of normal basis. The most substantial declines occurred in the southern growing regions.

A substantial increase in rainfall in #Brazil 's Rio Grande do Sul over the past week.

US #soybean US Drought Monitor drought index. Substantial improvements since October 2023.

An index that combines all the categories into a single value. It's the same data, slightly different application.

But the message is the same. Very low drought conditions across the US #corn crop.

While regional planting delays are inevitable with >normal precip in short periods of time, at the national view, US planting progress was still on track as of Monday.

After almost 200% of normal precip over the prior 7 days, the US #corn and #soybean crop areas are forecast to get ~175% of normal in the next 7 days (Note spring #wheat just shy of %300!). The d8-14 fcst concentrates precip in the East.

cropprophet.com

The US #corn and #soybean crop has received almost 2x (i.e., 200%) or normal precipitation over the prior 7-days. Focusing on a region of substantial rainfall, Minnesota #corn production weighted precipitation is 1.82 inches above normal over the same period.
#oatt