CIPS Analog Guidance
@cipsanalogs
The CIPS Analog Guidance is an impact-based weather resource that objectively finds similar historical events to the upcoming numerical model forecast.
ID: 1641384510
http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/analog.php 02-08-2013 21:59:44
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If you are interested here are a few of the sites used for gathering some of this information. CIPS Analog Guidance NWS Storm Prediction Center NWS Weather Prediction Center NWS LMRFC Also make sure to follow our neighbors as they will be updating frequently as well. NWS Mobile NWS Jackson MS NWS Lake Charles NWS Shreveport
Listen to this sage advice, folks. Risk of temps <32 a week from now is 50-60% according to analogs based off of the GEFS. Freezes in early May are NOT uncommon! CIPS Analog Guidance
Growing support from CIPS Analog Guidance that we'll have severe storms Monday night. The coverage of storms is uncertain, but any storm could initially produce very large hail before things transition to a wind threat. Can't rule out a tornado either. Have a way to get warnings! #arwx
Quite the confidence in the upcoming pattern change. Not only in the number of GEFS members on board, but also the intensity per CIPS Analog Guidance. Solid shot of >80 from Thur into next weekend AND (thanks @TimHalbach for tempting the gods) chances for severe. #wiwx @swiwx
The CIPS Analog Guidance shows the heat expanding into the Ohio Valley & Great Lakes regions mid to late week under the upper-level ridging. This is the probability of high temperatures exceeding 80° Wed - Fri. #ILwx #INwx #OHwx #MIwx #WIwx
Mightily impressive +4 to +6 standard deviations above normal 850mb temperatures across Pac NW & West Canada per CIPS Analog Guidance. A +4 to +6 SD equates to 0.007% to 0.0000002% of all obs in a normal distribution. But upcoming balloon sounding obs will likely be all-time highs.
While I wouldn’t bank on it, CIPS Analog Guidance have a 50-60% chance of temps at or above 60° in southern WI early next week 👀
Hey severe weather lovers... have you seen the CIPS Analog Guidance Deterministic Model Guidance viewer?!? Much easier to view than the older thumbnail stamps! Many composite indices to view from the NAM & GFS. SHERB has higher indices over NWA early Fri PM eas.slu.edu/CIPS/MODEL/WXm…
New analogs tonight show the changing weather pattern deep in January headed to early February. We quickly go from blowtorch to near-normal temperatures in the eastern CONUS as the pattern flips to a colder one. This shows the temp anomalies. #natgas $UNG $BOIL CIPS Analog Guidance
The western part of the U.S. is bound to be well below average temperature by Jan 25. Analog weather involves examining today's forecast scenario and remembering a day in the past when the weather scenario looked very similar. The National Weather Desk CIPS Analog Guidance @khqa
A quick note about the CIPS Analog Guidance stuff for next week: Nearly every event in the Top 15 features some sort of storm reports. The scores are interesting. Most are about an 11/15 (C grade) so not "Great" but also not "bad" either.