Xenia Taoubina (@xtaoubina) 's Twitter Profile
Xenia Taoubina

@xtaoubina

Independent trader and technical analyst with a decade of Wall St experience. Sharing a fragment of my paid work.
Tweets are not investment advice.

ID: 1073306401898946561

linkhttp://xtfinancialservices.com calendar_today13-12-2018 19:59:22

1,1K Tweet

2,2K Followers

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As subscribers know, I've been viewing 6201 $SPX as a key line in the sand for the swing market direction. For as long as it's holding, SPX has potential to exceed the upper end of my target box on my daily chart (6804). A break of 6201 is needed to indicate topping. So far,

As subscribers know, I've been viewing 6201 $SPX as a key line in the sand for the swing market direction. For as long as it's holding, SPX has potential to exceed the upper end of my target box on my daily chart (6804). A break of 6201 is needed to indicate topping. 

So far,
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I love it when action plays out exactly as forecast. $ES_F bottom support of 6611 noted in the Daily service held to a tee and provided a full reversal. #ES_F

I love it when action plays out exactly as forecast. $ES_F bottom support of 6611 noted in the Daily service held to a tee and provided a full reversal. 

#ES_F
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I was expecting the rally off the Sept 25 low to top sub-6797; $SPX did exactly that, reversing from a top sub-6797 and undoing 2 weeks worth of upside in a day. As it currently stands, for as long as 6699 is not exceeded, it has good odds of downside followthrough. Above this

I was expecting the rally off the Sept 25 low to top sub-6797; $SPX did exactly that, reversing from a top sub-6797 and undoing 2 weeks worth of upside in a day.

As it currently stands, for as long as 6699 is not exceeded, it has good odds of downside followthrough. Above this
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I turned bullish on $GDX when it exceeded 57.57, as those who follow my work know. Action since then, including current pullback, is perfectly consistent with the pattern I am following. Ideally, current decline will hold 69.17, with some support down to 63.89 under the favored

I turned bullish on $GDX when it exceeded 57.57, as those who follow my work know. Action since then, including current pullback, is perfectly consistent with the pattern I am following. 

Ideally, current decline will hold 69.17, with some support down to 63.89 under the favored
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$GDX - so far so good. Reached into the 69-handle pre-open, and is now bouncing. Needs over 74.99 to make it likely that immediate decline completed. To confirm that all of the correction completed, needs over 81.02.

$GDX - so far so good. Reached into the 69-handle pre-open, and is now bouncing. 

Needs over 74.99 to make it likely that immediate decline completed. To confirm that all of the correction completed, needs over 81.02.
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Despite a promising start on Oct 10, $SPX was unable to remain below 6699, thus breaking the downside reversal pattern. Furthermore, a rally over 6804 (later refined to 6815) favors acceleration up. For as long as it's now holding 6789, I'm viewing this pattern as operative.

Despite a promising start on Oct 10, $SPX was unable to  remain below 6699, thus breaking the downside reversal pattern. Furthermore, a rally over 6804 (later refined to 6815) favors acceleration up. For as long as it's now holding 6789, I'm viewing this pattern as operative.
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$GDX held noted support late October, and produced a sizable rally off support. With that, I consider the high-probability portion of upside off late Oct low complete. To favor a new high, it needs to proceed over 81.49. IF, instead, it breaks below 74.95, it will open up a

$GDX held noted support late October, and produced a sizable rally off support. With that, I consider the high-probability portion of upside off late Oct low complete. 

To favor a new high, it needs to proceed over 81.49. IF, instead, it breaks below 74.95, it will open up a
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Yesterday's post about a potential top in $GDX proved well-timed. For as long as it's below 77.48, risk of further downside is high.

Yesterday's post about a potential top in $GDX proved well-timed. For as long as it's below 77.48, risk of further downside is high.
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As a year is almost over, it's time to tally up the results of my 2025 forecast for the $SPX: ✅✅✅ A pullback at the start of the year, with a minor new high attained in Feb. ✅✅ A strong decline off the Feb high, which spiked below ideal support but spent very little time

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On Jan 12, I shared my view that $GLD, $SLV and $GDX still have plenty of upside left in 2026. Since then, they've gone truly vertical - over 20% gain in #GOLD in ~2 weeks. Even by my bullish view, that's stretched. I see the 5022 level in gold (April contract) as an important

On Jan 12, I shared my view that $GLD, $SLV and $GDX still have plenty of upside left in 2026. Since then, they've gone truly vertical - over 20% gain in #GOLD  in  ~2 weeks.

Even by my bullish view, that's stretched. I see the 5022 level in gold (April contract) as an important
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With today's move in #GOLD, I thought I would share the intermediate picture in $GLD here. $GLD is producing the move I talked about in yesterday's post. Ugly near-term, while constructive bigger picture. Yellow support zone is the ideal pullback zone before the next upside

With today's move in #GOLD, I thought I would share the intermediate picture in $GLD here. 

$GLD is producing the move I talked about in yesterday's post. Ugly near-term, while constructive bigger picture. 

Yellow support zone is the ideal pullback zone before the next upside
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Viewing #gold as nearing completion of its ideal correction pattern off the January high. Must-hold support in $GLD is 357; below it, more bearish potentials open up. $GLD needs 435+ to favor completion of correction, and over 497.96 to confirm. Next upside target 545-664.

Viewing #gold as nearing completion of its ideal correction pattern off the January high. Must-hold support in $GLD is 357; below it, more bearish potentials open up. $GLD needs 435+ to favor completion of correction, and over 497.96 to confirm. Next upside target 545-664.
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So far so good for the $GLD chart posted on March 21. At this time, it needs to hold 399.59 to maintain a constructive stance off the March low.

So far so good for the $GLD chart posted on March 21. 

At this time, it needs to hold 399.59 to maintain a constructive stance off the March low.