This is a very unfavorable look for the Atlantic. Strong +ENSO, +PMM mean the Pacific will be dominant and active. And the MDR is average in this forecast, with the subtropics warmer. Stability would be an issue even without the increased subsidence and shear from the Niño.

The highest quality video of the moon was just released… this is so beautiful.

Tropical Storm #Sinlaku looks primed for rapid intensification. Despite experiencing some easterly shear, the TC showcases a rather healthy banding structure w/ poleward outflow opening up along the northern flank. Model guidance expects a C4+ once shear abates.

Himawari-9 IR imagery shows a ragged, but expansive CDO w/ <-90°C cloudtops. An earlier MW scan revealing a developing inner core suggests that #Sinlaku is organizing quite well despite residual VWS. Expect exceptional rates of intensification as its environment improves.

That microwave satellite look is mean. Looks like something that wants to become a very high end typhoon very shortly.

Welcome home Reid, Victor, Christina, and Jeremy! 🫶 The Artemis II astronauts have splashed down at 8:07pm ET (0007 UTC April 11), bringing their historic 10-day mission around the Moon to an end.

Holy crap that was amazing. Gave me goosebumps. "Integrity's astronauts are back on earth" #artemis

Typhoon #SINLAKU Advisory #7: Sinlaku poised to rapidly intensify into a powerful typhoon. Max winds have increased to 80 knots (90 mph). Tropical Storm conditions ongoing over much of Micronesian Islands. Rapid intensification into a 135 knot Super Typhoon forecasted as the

Over the past few hours, Typhoon #Sinlaku's symmetrized deep convection about its eye. I can imagine it resulted from both improving environmental kinematics, and improving TC boundary layer thermodynamics upshear from the slow procession of shallow and stratiform precip there.

#Sinlaku is rapidly intensifying, with its eye now totally clear. Looks like it will be a super typhoon within the next 12 hours. It will continue to impress on satellite for the next few days! Impressive early season typhoon heralding a likely strong El Niño this year

It goes without saying that #Sinlaku is displaying the hallmarks of an upper echelon topical cyclone. Very easily one of the strongest typhoons observed during the month of April & given western pacific climatology during El Nino years, it likely won’t be the strongest of 2026.

Cat.5 Typhoon Sinlaku in the Western Pacific is currently radiating powerful gravity waves across the entire Pacific Plate

The remarkable evolution of Super Typhoon Sinlaku.

#Sinlaku's CDO has also transitioned from a more bursty mode (indicative of EWRC) to more uniform cooling around its eye again. This *could* suggest that the EWRC is not progressing but given that its eye size hasn't changed, a merger also appears unlikely.

Earlier today, the Cloud Profiling Radar (CPR) aboard the ESA's EarthCARE mission satellite made a bullseye pass over Category 5 STY #Sinlaku, providing a vertical scan of the eye and >16km-high eyewall! Also cool to have NEXRAD data to go along with it. It appears this is EarthCARE's

I've added seasonal stats for the rest of the globe on cyclonicwx.com's homepage. It will be interesting to see how active some of the Pacific basins will get this year!

I've added a couple new SST products that will come in handy this year! The first is a comparison to OISST records. The +PMM certainly stands out here. Another is the ENSO Longitude Index! Its recent shift tells us the warm pool in the West Pacific is moving eastward