#EconTwitter : if you have 2nd/3rd year PhD students interested in international macro and finance but not sure of a specific topic, Jesse Schreger suggested that the nber.org/research/data/… could be a good source of ideas. They can also watch past IFMDS SI sessions on NBER Youtube

Forthcoming in AEJ: Applied Economics: "Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Exports: When Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism" by Kyle Handley, Fariha Kamal, and Ryan Monarch. aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…

Here are my slides: benjaminmoll.com/EJ_Lecture/ Thanks so much for listening and for the great discussion and comments!

Government-led plant construction during WWII had persistent impacts on local labor markets and increased upward mobility for local children, who had increased access to high-wage jobs as adults, from Andy Garin and Jonathan L. Rothbaum nber.org/papers/w32265

Recently published in REStud, ``International Comovement in the Global Production Network'', from Huo, Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar: restud.com/international-…

Recently published in REStud, ``The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions,'' from Daron Acemoglu and @mashalirezaa: restud.com/the-macroecono…

Sergio Correia (@Ogoun) recently joined Markus K. Brunnermeier for a webinar on "Unlocking Economic Data with LLM." In his highly informative presentation, Correia covered: 1. Why should we use AI to create data? (3:55) (1/2)

After accumulating know-how abroad, returning Yugoslavian refugees boosted exports and productivity at home. In the March 2024 issue of REStat by Dany Bahar, Dany Bahar 🌎🎗️ Andreas Hauptmann Cem Ozguzel Hillel Rapoport. zurl.co/hywL

This semester I've been teaching "Economic Inequality and Growth" at UC Berkeley. This is a thread with some of my favorite graphs. First, the headline everyone's-seen-it graph: falling then rising income inequality in Anglophone countries.

📝Submit papers to new research project on Energy Markets, Decarbonization, and Trade! Submission deadline 10/16. 🔗nber.org/calls-papers-a… Excited to organize w Natalia Ramondo. Sloan Foundation, NBER generously supporting. Final conference Mar 20-21, 2025. Pls r/t.

Immigrants to the US between 2000 and 2022 complemented native labor and helped wages of less educated natives, from Alessandro Caiumi and Giovanni Peri nber.org/papers/w32389

📢 NEW DATA! Javier Flórez (@Pseud0Safari), Mario Larch, Sebastien Bradley, and I are very happy share the most disaggregated dataset of consistently constructed international and domestic trade flows -- GRANTPA. So, let’s estimate GRAVITY with GRANTPA. ideas.repec.org/p/ris/drxlwp/2…

I got the Census Trade Data API to bend to my will and made this animated graph of the Top 10 Source countries for US imports, in which you can see China is dethroned as #1 by Canada and Mexico by 2023 (with an obvious assist from high import tariffs). This is part of class I am

This is a great dataset!

The USTR report has a very thorough review of prior research on Trump tariffs. But to justify today's announcement they appear to argue the extant research only measures adjustment costs that will all be resolved favorably by future dynamic gains from resilience and national

I made the Biden Tariff Analyzer for all the new tariffs. Please share. You can look up a tariffed product by code or description, get the new rate, phase-in, trade flows since 2016 and top suppliers. 1/ kylehandley.shinyapps.io/BidenTariffAna…

Industry switching by manufacturing firms and job gains at firms expanding the service sector offset job losses in manufacturing in response to the China trade shock, from Nick Bloom, @kylelhandley, André Kurmann, and Philip A. Luck nber.org/papers/w33098

Back in 2017, Nuno Limao and I wrote a book chapter on what to expect on trade policy in the first Trump admin, which framed the approach of threats and renegotiation as a trade cold war. I think most of it will apply the 2nd admin as well. grace.umd.edu/~limao/handley…

2024 may also be remembered as the year U.S. fiscal exuberance died. post-mortem 🧵 on how we got here. Right now, with the 10 year US Treasury yield trading well above 4.5% and the federal government spending roughly the equivalent of the defense budget just on interest

Open call for papers, Energy Markets and the Macroeconomy Conference. Meeting to be held in Cambridge on December 10–11, 2026. Submit papers by 11:59pm EDT on November 19, 2025. More information: nber.org/calls-papers-a…