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Had a great time presenting on null / non-significant results in survey experiments to Samara Klar's Ph.D. class at University of Arizona! 😁 🚨If you teach a course on experiments in the Fall and would like me to present, feel free to email/DM me--I'd be happy to do it!

Everyone is wrong. You're all looking for other things that are *increasing*. But the real reason autism is increasing is because of something that's *decreasing*. And it's staring us all right in the face: Falling unemployment among Saudi Arabian youths.

Had a great time presenting in Dominik Stecuła's PhD class on null results in experiments. Thank you again, Dom! If anyone who teaches experiments would like me to present for a course in the Fall, just email or DM me--happy to do it! 😁

Do most people understand how inflation works? That drops in the inflation rate don't mean drops in prices? 🤔 No. And misunderstanding is significantly associated with vote choice in 2024. Thanks to Verasight and Peter K. Enns for letting me field this survey question 🙏

🚨 Our latest paper is out today in Science! We uncover stark and systematic partisan differences in the amount, content, and character of science used in policy, which mirror differences in political elites’ trust in science. Four years in the making. Led by Zander Furnas 1/n

For those currently writing and/or grading papers, always good to keep this distinction in mind

The 2024 Current Population Survey says there was a 10.9 point gap between the non-Hispanic White turnout rate (70.5%) and the Black turnout rate (59.6%). That's the largest turnout gap in a presidential year since 1992.

This is a good reminder about the important point raised by Justin Grimmer : when we look at the % of a group that voted for a party, we can see large shifts across elections. But a lot of that shift might be driven by changing turnout, not changing preferences for parties.

Finally got around to incorporating all Github feedback on my open access textbook, making around 20 minor improvements, and updating some references. 17 chapters of state of the art stats and methods education, freely available for any course you teach. lakens.github.io/statistical_in…

In case people of the future have trouble understanding our current moment in history, within the same 50 seconds we are told: 1) Obamacare stinks 2) I saved Obamacare Top that, Orwell

Hard to express what a relief it is to have just submitted the first complete draft of my book manuscript to University of California Press (is on Bluesky) 😮‍💨🥳 5+ years in the making. 249 pages. 82,000 words. 0 ChatGPT. 😉 A million thanks to all those who gave me guidance and inspired me along the way! 🙏

Did you know that your siblings can influence whether you vote? Well, now you do! Social scientists have long known that parents influence kids' political socialization. And we have some new evidence that the opposite occurs too--kids influence parents. But, we have little

Excited to share a new working paper with @SemraSevi and Don Green. We built a chatbot-based Voting Aid Application (VAA) using generative AI to help young voters in the US learn where parties stand on the issues they care most about. Does it work? Yes and no... Let’s dive in.

A look at partisanship in the U.S. right now--what partisans will tolerate, what they won't, and where the parties differ. (From an ongoing project with Ian Anson; n = ~1,100; graph made in Stata 😊)

Graphics are an important part of how we communicate complex ideas and results. Learn how to turn Stata graphs into #gif images with our #TechTip techtips.surveydesign.com.au/post/visualisa…

The truth may be puzzling. But our preferences do not determine what's true.

What might things be like if children recited this full quote at the start of every school day for their entire childhood 🤔

Our podcast Nullius In Verba consists of 60+ episode on what science is, and what it could be. Smriti and I are passionate about learning, so we read out classic papers and chapters in our separate 'Prologue' episodes. We have 17 so far. Here's a list of all these episodes: