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Saying an effect size is "small" or "medium" is meaningless. But we didn't have a set of guidelines for saying it better. Now we do, thanks to this awesome piece by @DavidFunder and Dan Ozer--I think everyone doing behav science research should read this. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

The notion of “probability” is both familiar (we use it), and mysterious (we would typically struggle to define it). Here is a 🧵 to remove the mystery and make the meaning of “probability” more intuitive.

So in 2007, physicists wrote a paper that made the headlines: according to their calculations, human coin flips aren’t 50/50 - more like 51/49. Why is that, and did students in Amsterdam really flip 350,000 coins to find out? 🧵

External validity: seeing this more and more in my journal editing. Note that every result is valid to some setting, no result is externally valid to all settings. Let's think about how preferences, beliefs, or constraints differ across the experimental and target setting(s)

Interested in pursuing a PhD in public administration (or public policy)? We are recruiting (fully funded!) PhD students and we are especially interested in project proposals within one (or more) of the following themes: Public management, AI/digitization, and Danish politics.

In addition to the general call above (across disciplines), we also have a PA specific PhD call open. The deadline is also October 15th for this call: …sd-saasfaprod1.fa.ocs.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candidat…

Great thread on how shocks to natural geography causes prosperity. Christian Vedel uses two really fascinating historical shocks to Danish waterways that I also recently learned about myself. Very cool stuff!

“Why do some academic articles receive more citations from policy communities?” onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pu…

Very interesting study with implications for marketization and choice in health care services (GPs)

Just put together a simple guide on how to vectorize R plots in PowerPoint. Check out my first Medium article 🥳 nalinan.medium.com/how-to-vectori…

We are happy to announce that we have hired *three* tenure-track assistant professors who will join us in the Public Administration Research Group (Public Adm. SDU). All three will be introduced here briefly:

I am very happy to share that I have been promoted to tenure track assistant professor Public Adm. SDU

NEW PAPER w/ Erik Santoro Josh Kalla Roni Porat 🎗️🟣 There's a widespread idea that we will persuade other people more effectively if we listen to them first The NYT has said it, social psych says it, & my previous research has assumed it In a new study, we find it's likely wrong 🧵..

Exciting findings about citizen coproduction in "Coproduction of core and complementary tasks in times of service decline: Experimental evidence" by Peter Rasmussen Damgaard, Niels Opstrup, & Mette Kjærgaard Thomsen. doi.org/10.1111/padm.1…

My latest is now up Journal of Politics @[email protected]! Using data from Los Angeles Unified, I show how electoral incentives can lead to inequalities in school funding. Thx to all who supported this project and provided feedback, especially Vladimir Kogan @payson_julia Leslie Finger! rb.gy/u6dcqg

🤷Should you include a “don't know” (DK) option in a survey question? ➡️Mads Andreas Elkjær & Christopher Wlezien show the exclusion of a DK option can matter, mostly for low-information respondents and on low-salience issues cambridge.org/core/journals/… #FirstView #OpenAccess

Experimental evidence from Los Angeles shows parents value school effectiveness even conditional on peer quality, and that social interactions strongly influence school choice, from Chris Campos nber.org/papers/w33010

Hvornår valgstederne lukker på tværs af USA dansk tid #usavalg

Now in American Political Science Review: What do politicians think about their voters? Fielding face-to-face surveys to 982 sitting politicians in 11 countries, and surveys of 12,000 citizens, we find they have remarkably consistent - and cynical - theories of voters: /1 doi.org/10.1017/S00030…

Our paper on the logic of guesses is now out (w/ Neil Bramley and Chris Lucas). We provide a new information-theoretic perspective on many phenomena (old and new) in judgment under uncertainty. 🧵