🟣🔵 GW1. UTV.

Do you fancy joining the KUHN team? 🤩 Take a look at what vacancies we currently have: jobs.kuhn.com #bestrongbekuhn

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Upcoming Webinar: Why Intelligence Functions Still Don’t Exist in Most Organisations – And Why That’s Hurting Us Register Now: ow.ly/S9MJ50WHwrx

Coming in hot. #ReadyToRise | #BritishBasketball

🏋‍♀️⚽️ Sunday leg day, and then Shrewsbury Town Women vs. Wrexham. Grafting in the morning, and then watching what she aspires to in the afternoon - on this pathway from next season. Motivated! All we do is work.

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🏆 The Fall Metaculus Cup is live: Weekly questions on everything from geopolitics to reality TV. $5k in prizes split between forecasting accuracy & quality comments. This week: • US-Venezuela conflict • French PM • Big Brother winner Get started: metaculus.com/tournament/met…

We now have the first accuracy results from the largest-ever existential risk forecasting tournament. In 2022, we convened 80 experts and 89 superforecasters for the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament (XPT), which collected thousands of forecasts in 172 questions across

👏 This! London Lions away on TUESDAY 23rd September. 🤦‍♂️ 3 aways in the first WEEK against teams with far greater resources (ie. actual staff). Means two days of annual leave (££) & very early mornings / late nights scouting, around FT job, family, gym. We're so f'ing back!

“Unpack the question into components. Distinguish as sharply as you can between the known and unknown and leave no assumptions unscrutinized.” - Phil Tetlock & Dan Gardner in Superforecasting Next workshop: goodjudgment.com/services/upcom…

📖☢️ Tough book to read! "Could happen tomorrow. Or later today." I admire any works on scenarios - as well as counterfactuals - as the intellectual & analytical effort to produce them is extensive. Writing scenarios like this is very difficult, but always a good exercise.

⚽️🍝 Taken her to Guner'o, Newport, for pasta to celebrate her off-season efforts & for a pre-game meal before the first game in the morning. GW1 vs. pre-season favourites; she starts at Shrewsbury Town on Mon; County trials next Fri. YOU EITHER DID THE WORK, OR YOU DIDN'T.

⚽️ Need to see stats on this PSG/Newcastle thing of booting the ball straight out from kick off. Suggested to my wife - who is asst coach of our daughter's team - that they do it for the first game. No traction. Penning the opponent straight in at u15 girls level could work? 🤷‍♂️

Competitive intelligence is never truly complete. It’s more practical to aim for decision-ready intelligence. That is, insights that are clear and specific enough to inform the next move. Your goal is to inform action, not build an encyclopedia.

There is no word in English that means someone is 30% sure something will happen

Ah, this explains the really interesting vacancies I'd noticed at Grimsby Town recently - definitely one to watch.

🤦‍♂️ Massive shame. Really prominent business locally for many years. It's tough out there.