Just-identified instrumental variables are more powerful than you think. Providing shorter and valid confidence intervals for instrumental variable models, from David S. Lee, Justin McCrary, Marcelo J. Moreira, Jack R. Porter, and Luther Yap nber.org/papers/w31893

Hi #Econtwitter, I'd like to share the slides from the PhD Applied Econometrics course I just had the privilege to teach at Berkeley Agricultural and Resource Economics Regression & causality, selection on observables, panel data, IV, RDD --- usual topics but hopefully in a modern way github.com/borusyak/are213

A 🧵 of new #DiD stuff that came out this year. Just putting it here mostly for myself since bookmarks are becoming a mess: Paper 1 by Callway, Goodman-Bacon, Sant'Anna 2024a: Difference-in-differences with a Continuous Treatment nber.org/papers/w32117

Always exciting to see a new Anna Mikusheva or Liyang Sun IV paper published, let alone both of them together! Forthcoming in The Econometrics Journal: doi.org/10.1093/ectj/u…

Consider having your pi today at The Cartesian Cafe, my podcast that's been ranked top 5 for math in the US. Watch in-depth whiteboard sessions with mathematicians, physicists, and AI experts - from Fields Medal winning work to quantum computing. youtube.com/playlist?list=… #math

🎙️ Interested in game theory, streaming data, and “anytime-valid” inference? You’ll love our latest episode with Aaditya Ramdas from Carnegie Mellon University!

Great to see this published. Disappointing to see that the authors found zero(!) articles that included the Mikusheva and Poi confidence sets robust to weak instruments, but hopefully this provides solid guidance for future research

ICYMI, I've written a book that compiles 97 of my Quick Stata Tips. You can download the book and the companion .do file for free at toddrjones.com/quickstatatips/.

Happy 50th anniversary, 10-Cent Beer Night! 25,000 fans had 60,000 beers. There were 19 streakers, 7 arrests and 7 people that wound up in the emergency room. Future broadcaster Tim Russert, 24: game. "I went with $2 in my pocket. You do the math!”

Difference-in-difference designs (of which there are many different types!) are a go-to method for economists looking to investigate causal impacts. Here are the many ways this method has been used on VoxDev: voxdev.org/did

I'm pleased to share that Comparative Political Studies has conditionally accepted my paper with Helen Milner on how leaders respond to climate change. We find a new political cleavage is emerging based on geographic vulnerability. Check out the preprint here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

Today we released the first papers from OpenResearch's Unconditional income Study, which gave 1k ppl $1k/mo for 3 yrs & had a N=2k control group This 🧵 is for RCT nerds: how did we measure the cash's fx? Learn about 96% response rates, blood draws, changing a state law & more..

Quantiative twitter is fighting about confidence intervals again, so here’s a reminder: confidence intervals are like ring toss.

Source: William Easterly

It's time!🥳 Women on the 2024-25 econ job market, in no particular order: /begin{verylongthread}

As always, Howie Rose articulates what we're all feeling to a tee. What a ride for the 2024 Mets.

Hi #EconTwitter! Check out this cool Econometrics Journal editorial by @JaapAbbring, Victor Chernozhukov #peace 🇺🇦 & Fernandez-Val on Wright's 1928 contribution to causal inference and IV. Very interesting stuff! Link: arxiv.org/abs/2501.16395

This was Tommy and Finn’s first MLB game! They loved seeing the crowd get into it basically right away, even with the cold, wet weather

I took Felix Elwert’s Statistical Horizons IV course a few years back. Highly recommended. I still refer back to my notes from this course regularly

Really cool paper from Mikusheva and Solvsten coming out in Quantitative Economics ! Their Chamberlain Seminar presentation was a really nice walk-through of this chamberlainseminar.org/past-seminars/…