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Shamkhani, apparently still alive, making an appearance at today's funerals.

SCOOP: The United States obtained intercepted communication between senior Iranian officials discussing this month’s military strikes on Iran’s nuclear program and remarking that the attack was less devastating than they had expected, per four soures

At this stage, European leaders should submit their wish for a “geopolitical Europe” to the Make-A-Wish Foundation, it will have more chances of coming true. All this is so tragically predictable. And its results are too.

Apparently bombing countries weekly and occupying their land signals a desire for peace.

The major problem with the pledge from #NATO countries to spend 5 percent of their GDP for defense spending is not that it is too ambitious. Rather, the risk is that by 2035 it will be too late, warns Anna Wieslander. More takes: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…

3/ Arab cynicism toward Iran remains high—but so does war-weariness. No one wants to be dragged into a U.S.-Israeli conflict driven by ideology, not strategy. #IranWar #ArabWorld

There is now a short window for effective diplomacy to transform the inconclusive US strikes into a turning point in resolving one of the region’s most enduring threats. US be wise to leverage E3’s hawkish posture. The difficulty for Euros is in proving their usefulness.

Despite their geopolitical impotence on Ukraine and Gaza, Euros cld be helpful on 3 central aspects: restoring inspections of Iran nuke facilities, influencing Tehran’s long-term calculus, and helping get a broader agreement that reduces the Israeli gov’s pretexts to resume war

Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز (rmomtaz.bsky.social) : « Where both the United States and Europe face an uphill battle is in convincing Tehran that pursuing nuclear weapons is not its only path to restoring its deterrence and security. U.S. and European self-deterrence in Ukraine was a direct result of…

.Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز (rmomtaz.bsky.social): "For decades, a potential U.S. strike has been shrouded in the deterrent halo of obliteration. [T]he absence of clear evidence that the operation eradicated Iran’s nuclear program—and Tehran’s refusal to renounce its ambition of nuclear enrichment for military

Europe's major economies are finally putting their economic weight behind defense. But budgets alone don't deter: Europeans must turn these resources into real military capabilities & expand the forces needed to use them, says Tobias Bunde. More takes: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…

This is where the E3 could be helpful on Iran I outlined more here: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…

Zelensky must be the world’s loneliest man. In a few years, it will be fascinating to have a candid no holds-barred discussion with him to hear what he really thought of his counterparts and their words in these moments. And where he find the strength to keep going.

As far as I can tell Trump has not spoken to Zelensky since the Pentagon decision to halt deliveries of air defense munitions, but he has spoken to Putin who refused a ceasefire again but agreed to promote together traditional values, if the RUS readout is truthful. Logical.

Trump is *maybe* having a call with Zelensky "on Friday or the coming days". Nothing pressing! ft.com/content/edac80…

The Europeans who have been in denial about the extent of the China's support enabling Russia to continue prosecuting its war on UKR. The US "reverse Kissinger". It's been 3yrs of visionary, effective diplomacy and geopolitical deterrence all-around from the "western camp"...

Dark but accurate.

UKR FM "Security in Europe, the Middle East, and the Indo-Pacific is inextricably linked. This is not an attention competition. We urge the US and intl community to increase pressure on both Moscow as well as everyone ard the world who supports RUS's war effort"