Both BTC and ETH are tagging and bouncing from the lower band at 3 STD here. Shorts also seem to be closing, so for now at least, it's just a liquidation reaction.

Pretty solid push outside of this long weekly range on DXY, and bear in mind - it already broke out of a multi-year range and found acceptance below it. Important to monitor whether we get a weekly close back inside the range or if the free fall continues.

The Probable Range Analysis system uses price close, so it hasn't updated yet, but BTC is currently auctioning right at the highlighted zone / lower band. From a technical standpoint, we're also at the 0.25 of this range, with clear untagged liquidity below at 80k. Wouldn't be

Price is currently moving against what it should be doing while liquidity is rising. These levels of being oversold relative to liquidity have occurred only rarely in the past. While some of the panic is justified, it's important to remember that markets can and will experience

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Liquidity Fair Oscillator MT also fired a long on BTC around this zone. It's hard to imagine the bottom not being close as more and more systems look to enter. This doesn't mean we V-reverse or instantly start trending upwards, but it should mean we start building a base in the

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Our Liquidity Fair Oscillator LT had a BTC buy signal at the 73-62k zone as well, pretty cool as an additional confluence. For context, last buy it did was in March 2025 around 81-84k.

Short update on the current Bitcoin setup vs global liquidity. Bitcoin is down over 20% in the past 4 weeks while the 3M RoC remains above the 12M RoC and continues rising. This creates a rare divergence in Bitcoin's history. This exact combination - BTC dropping more than 20%

Getting a lot of questions recently about whether the global liquidity cycle has already peaked. Here's a chart to help put things in perspective and manage expectations. After further analysis, we found that plotting the normalized 12-month RoC Z-score of global liquidity

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Bitcoin continues to show a significant divergence against global liquidity RoC. As mentioned in last week's post, this setup has occurred only rarely in Bitcoin's price history. If it persists, we might see a surprise rally while bears call for lower. The main factor that

Looking at price through the lens of Cycle Bands adds more of the same confluence. To trigger a buy signal right now, price would have to drop to $47k - which, whether you're a blind bull or bear, would look like a very lucrative opportunity to buy BTC.

He's calling a liquidity peak mainly because the Fed is biased toward shrinking its balance sheet, imo. But that's suicidal given falling reserves and massive refinancing needs - or am I wrong, CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes? Howell almost certainly uses more inputs for the bigger

MCI is now very close to flipping long. As explained already, usually use this one as that heavy-added confluence for setups, hence the big emphasis on it - it helped us de-risk significantly at 114k. Looking at the current PA, we finally swept some lows and price is reacting

$BTC, $ETH, and $SOL, are all entering a volatility contraction phase, which usually precedes a large and volatile move. None of the three really reacted to the war news either, which is surprising but also not really. The market became numb after so many war and tariff

$BTC weekly resistance passed convincingly. But we're still clearly not in an uptrend on the weekly timeframe, so what now? We had 6 consecutive red weekly candles, so a reaction bounce was almost a given from a probability-standpoint. Think we consolidate for a bit now, and