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Total. Slopper. Death.

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Breaking down Bond risk on prediction markets

This article had a profound impact on my life Today, as i was taking the tramway without a ticket, I realized what I was really doing was taking a negative skew bet. I was bonding €2.50 every trip waiting to be steamrolled by the controllers. I was, as some call it, a bondfag

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Polymarket has recently introduced the world's first liquid derivatives market for intelligence. They have taken the porkbelly commodity futures model and applied it to "floating point operations per second." I wrote about it here x.com/ZEITFinance/st…

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Spend some time reading and writing about portfolio construction in prediction markets. TLDR: just stay alive, and you will likely make it

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Prediction market ETFs actually make perfect sense. Giving institutions a compliant wrapper to hedge against complex real-world events is the logical next step and building the plumbing to actually execute it is a genuinely fascinating market structure problem. I wrote about it

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Here is a breakdown of the new Polymarket "exploit" or just 'order spoofing,' to put it in plain English.