Pat’s Picks (@patpredicts) 's Twitter Profile
Pat’s Picks

@patpredicts

Pat is a machine-learning driven model created by an MIT graduate - we deliver free sports investing picks daily. Tips accepted but never expected 🙏🏼

ID: 1229510724935798784

linkhttp://www.patpredicts.com calendar_today17-02-2020 21:00:00

1,1K Tweet

2,2K Followers

434 Following

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

6-2…a brutal beat for the Cardinals, and the Cubs didn’t show up today, but we stay hot! ML plays up over 20 units on the year

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Four ML plays that the sim loves: Tigers +170 Cubs +130 Phillies +110 Cardinals -125 We’re hot on ML plays, 23-13 in our last 36 for a +10.1 unit gain since June 11 If all four plays hit today, I’ll send $50 to one person who’s following, and likes + RTs this tweet!

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The model found a big pricing discrepancy in Draftkings’ Austin Slater SB odds - paired this with some other model picks and had a profitable day! Will give away $50 to someone who likes + RTs this, and follows me and robbie 💰

The model found a big pricing discrepancy in Draftkings’ Austin Slater SB odds - paired this with some other model picks and had a profitable day!

Will give away $50 to someone who likes + RTs this, and follows me and <a href="/roundrobinrob/">robbie</a> 💰
Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

ML Plays last night: Yankees -165 💰 Reds +155 💰 Marlins +140 💰 Rockies +145 💰 Brewers -210 💰 Orioles -135 💰 Blue Jays 👎🏻 Guardians 👎🏻 Cubs 👎🏻 Big night! I’ll celebrate by giving away $25 to one person who likes + RT’s this and is following me

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My piece on BettingPros honing in on the best MLB Futures plays is live! Give it a read, and, if you find it helpful, give it a share: bettingpros.com/articles/top-6…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

MLB is back! Loving the Tigers -140 in the first game of their doubleheader today. Sprinkling on Eric Haase to HR (+360). Write up and analysis on BettingPros: bettingpros.com/articles/best-…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My Washington Commanders season preview is live on BettingPros - what to expect from Washington after a big offseason in an interesting division, and why Commanders +175 to make the playoffs is a great bet to make: bettingpros.com/articles/washi…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Also did a piece on the Houston Texans - expectations are low this year, but with a promising young QB in Davis Mills I’m sprinkling on an AFC South title for Houston at +3000 bettingpros.com/articles/houst…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Price movements since this article dropped last week: Guardians AL Central +450 -> +360 Judge AL MVP +150 -> -105 Freeman NL MVP +1500 -> +650 Burnes NL Cy +700 -> +500 McClanahan AL Cy +210 -> +155 We got in early on all five and there’s still value to be had!

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My play for tonight’s game between the Cowboys and the Bucs, a +475 SGP that I’m feeling great about bettingpros.com/articles/nfl-w…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My BettingPros article on TD Props for tonight’s Steelers/Browns matchup - plenty of value here, even in what will likely be a low scoring game. bettingpros.com/articles/nfl-w…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Last six published Any Time TD plays (solo or parlay legs): Josh Palmer +250 💰 Jerick McKinnon +360 💰 Allen Lazard +210 💰 Diontae Johnson +230 ❌ David Njoku +470 💰 Melvin Gordon +180 💰 Will be back for Dolphins/Bengals TNF next week 👀

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

BettingPros readers cash the Primetime SGP for the second straight night! Bucs ML (-185) Olave 65+ Yards (+105) Both Teams U14.5 First Half (-200) Parlay Odds: +400 Stay tuned for this Thursday’s parlay! bettingpros.com/articles/nfl-m…

Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Simulated distribution of outcomes: Rangers vs. Rays Model expects TEX to struggle against Glasnow. Rangers score 2 or fewer runs in >50% of simulated games. Rays should find success against Jordan Montgomery. Serious potential for an offensive explosion. Fair value Rays -230

Simulated distribution of outcomes: Rangers vs. Rays

Model expects TEX to struggle against Glasnow. Rangers score 2 or fewer runs in &gt;50% of simulated games. 

Rays should find success against Jordan Montgomery. Serious potential for an offensive explosion.

Fair value Rays -230
Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Simulated distribution of outcomes: Blue Jays @ Twins This should be a tight, low-scoring game. Gausman is a worse matchup for Twins than Lopez is for Blue Jays. Model gives Jays slight edge in mode outcome, and in probability of offensive explosion. Fair price TOR -120

Simulated distribution of outcomes: Blue Jays @ Twins

This should be a tight, low-scoring game. Gausman is a worse matchup for Twins than Lopez is for Blue Jays. Model gives Jays slight edge in mode outcome, and in probability of offensive explosion.

Fair price TOR -120
Sam Smith (@samsmithbetting) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Rangers @ Rays Game 2 Model Distributions: Model is pretty much dead on w books on this one. I have fair price at Rays -140, so no value on either ML side. Taking a small position on Under 8 total runs (-115). Game went under 8 runs in 61% of simulations.

Rangers @ Rays Game 2 Model Distributions:

Model is pretty much dead on w books on this one. I have fair price at Rays -140, so no value on either ML side.

Taking a small position on Under 8 total runs (-115). Game went under 8 runs in 61% of simulations.