Full scale version here public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…

Last of the immediate post-election writing deadlines met. Time to squash everything into the car and head to the seaside.for two weeks. Hopefully I can update this when I get back public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…

No evidence for this as yet, could've been the polls were just a bit out all along for methodological not political reasons. But I'd been more interested in the supermajority narrative than taxation for anything leading to late swing.

Written immediately after the election, happy to share these reflections on the result

'At a key moment, given the opportunity to remove a very unpopular government, a large part of the electorate shrugged and carried on with their day' - one of the many stories to explore when data becomes available later in the year

Think Farage is in danger of speaking to his online audience rather than body of Reform voters here. Speaking to Reform voters since the unrest, there was no “but” just straight out condemnation of rioters and total rejection rioters are standing up for Britain.

Away on the South Devon coast for a few more days but not sure if continuing here is sustainable. Will write about it when I get back as it makes me really sad.

🚨📉 New blog on GE2024 in Scotland! Three important constituency-level results using new geographical 2014 indyref vote estimates from our research fellow @martamiori ⬇️⬇️⬇️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2024/08/05/ge2…

Giving us a good measure of the size of the very online Reform vote. And the more their MPs think they are the base and go after that vote the harder the cap on the vote share.

Back from holiday and have decided to give this a try, BlueSubSkyStack - new analyses will be on this link pollingsnippets.substack.com/?r=4a6d0z&utm_… in the near future (nothing to see yet)

Finding my experiment easier to make work with B*Sky than with S*Stack so far. But miss the breadth of discussion across different types of voices and organisations. Think of it as being in beta version 0.7 find me here ⬇️

With the release of the new data I will be running, visualising and writing a lot about voters and the election but not here so if you like that sort of thing look out for substack and the 'other' not threads place.

Very sad to have to share this news today. The politics and policy landscape will be poorer for losing a key *independent* voice.

As disappointing as this decision is, it has made me realise we’ve done a lot out of our tiny office on the Strand over the last few years! Very proud of our team. And we don’t plan on stopping just yet- see you at party conferences…

In case you are wondering where all my charts have gone you can find a few here and follow for lots more in the next few weeks pollingsnippets.substack.com/publish/posts/…

Sophie is being far too modest here, so much more than a co-author, the report would not exist without her. An incredible effort when months of work was completely upended by the election timing.