Opros Politics 🇺🇦 (@oprosuk) 's Twitter Profile
Opros Politics 🇺🇦

@oprosuk

Political polling, projection, graphics & analysis from the UK and Europe. Support at ko-fi.com/oprospolitics @OprosIE @OprosDE @OprosAT @ElectionGM 🇺🇦

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linkhttp://opros.co.uk calendar_today05-08-2019 15:08:58

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Westminster Voting Intention: REF: 25% (+1) CON: 23% (=) LAB: 23% (=) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 9% (+1) Seat Forecast (MRP): REF: 227 (+52) LAB: 180 (+6) CON: 133 (-45) LDM: 49 (-8) SNP: 30 (-7) via Find Out Now / Electoral Calculus, 21-28 Mar (Changes with 29 Jan)

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 24% (=) REF: 23% (=) CON: 22% (+1) LDM: 17% (+3) GRN: 9% (-2) via YouGov, 6-7 Apr (Changes with 31 Mar)

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Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date? Approve: 14% (-5) Disapprove: 68% (+8) via YouGov, 5-7 Apr (Changes with 31 Mar)

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Seat Projection (POLARIS): LAB: 218 (+18) CON: 136 (-54) REF: 135 (+33) LDM: 70 (=) via JLP, Mar Labour 108 short of a majority. (Changes with Jan)

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UK Monthly Polling Tracker (March): LAB: 25.0% (+0.1) REF: 24.5% (-1.6) CON: 22.4% (+0.6) LDM: 13.2% (+0.3) GRN: 8.5% (+0.3) SNP: 2.6% (=) LAB lead REF by 0.5pp (+1.7) (Changes with Feb)

UK Monthly Polling Tracker (March):

LAB: 25.0% (+0.1)
REF: 24.5% (-1.6)
CON: 22.4% (+0.6)
LDM: 13.2% (+0.3)
GRN: 8.5% (+0.3)
SNP: 2.6% (=)

LAB lead REF by 0.5pp (+1.7)

(Changes with Feb)
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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 24% (=) REF: 23% (=) CON: 21% (-1) LDM: 14% (-3) GRN: 11% (+2) via YouGov, 13-14 Apr (Changes with 7 Apr)

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Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date? Approve: 16% (+2) Disapprove: 63% (-5) via YouGov, 12-14 Apr (Changes with 7 Apr)

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 24% (=) CON: 24% (+1) REF: 23% (+2) LDM: 13% (-2) GRN: 9% (+1) via Focaldata, 11-14 Apr (Changes with 28 Feb)

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Party Leader Approval Ratings: Nigel Farage (REF): 29% Ed Davey (LDM): 21% Keir Starmer (LAB): 20% Kemi Badenoch (CON): 19% via @focaldatahq, 11-14 Apr

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Party Leader (and Chancellor) Approval Ratings: Nigel Farage (REF): 28% (+2) Keir Starmer (LAB): 25% (+3) Ed Davey (LDM): 22% (+2) Kemi Badenoch (CON): 19% (+2) Rachel Reeves (LAB): 17% via Opinium, 9-11 Apr (Changes with 28 Mar)

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Which, if any, of the following people do you think would be the best Prime Minister? Keir Starmer (LAB): 28% (+2) Kemi Badenoch (CON): 13% (=) via Opinium, 9-11 Mar (Changes with 28 Mar)

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Westminster Voting Intention: REF: 24% (+3) LAB: 24% (-1) CON: 24% (-2) LDM: 13% (-1) GRN: 8% (=) Seat Forecast (MRP): REF: 180 (+108) LAB: 165 (-63) CON: 165 (-57) LDM: 67 (+9) SNP: 35 (-2) via More in Common, 1 Apr Reform 146 short of a majority. (Changes with 16 Dec)