New infographic shows how voters have moved around since 2019. Most Conservative voters have switched allegiance, but in many different directions. Full story at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/pseph_tr…

Our latest poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead over the #Conservatives slightly up at 19pc, with the Conservatives set to win fewer than 100 seats. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our new monthly poll-of-polls has #Labour 's lead over the #Conservatives down slightly to 18pc, which still leads to a landslide. #LibDem seats projected up, following our recent MRP poll. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our latest poll-of-polls has #Labour about 20pc ahead of the #Conservatives , which would give them a massive majority. Labour also ahead of the #SNP in Scotland, and Reform just ahead of the Lib Dems. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our year-end poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead down 3pc to 17pc. But that is still enough for a big Labour majority. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our new monthly poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead over the #Conservatives up slightly to 20pc, giving them a very large majority. In Scotland, Labour is now predicted to win 12 seats more than #SNP . Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our new monthly poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead widening over the #Conservatives to 19pc, up from 17pc last month. That's still a landslide majority. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our latest monthly poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead over the #Conservatives steady at 17pc. That would still mean a big Labour majority if there were an election now. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our new monthly poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead over the #Conservatives down by 2pc to 17pc. That's still big enough for a Blair-style landslide. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Fun fact: according to the new census, the population-weighted centre (median) of the UK is Cash's Park in #Coventry . Half the population lives north, east, south and west of there respectively. And half live within 90 miles of it (red circle).

Our new cartographic map gives equal area to each seat, and now uses the new constituency boundaries. Try it at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/dynamicmap.htm…

Our new MRP poll with Findoutnow.co.uk for Channel 4 News shows Labour set for a big election victory. Full details and data tables now available at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_mrppo…

Our latest poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead over the #Conservatives very slightly softer, but still large, at 19pc. That would be enough for a big landslide if there were an election soon. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

NEW: full analysis of the finalised new constituency boundaries from the Boundary Commissions. Includes maps, demographics and voting predictions. electoralcalculus.co.uk/boundaries2023…

The #Conservatives had a bad time in June, according to our new poll-of-polls, with #Labour increasing their lead to 20pc. That would translate into a significant win for Labour if there were an election soon. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our new poll-of-polls shows #Labour consolidating its lead over the #Conservatives , now at 16pc (up from 15pc last month). Still a landslide for Labour on these figures. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our latest poll-of-polls shows #Labour 's lead over #Conservatives down to 15pc (it peaked at 26pc under Liz Truss), but still enough for a landslide majority. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Our latest monthly poll-of-polls has #Labour 's lead slightly down to 19pc, but still enough for a whopping majority. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…

Please can we wish all numbers geeks a Happy New Millennium today, as 15 March 2023 is Microsoft Serial Date 45,000. (type =TODAY() in Excel to check).

New Council wards for May 2023 - there are 48 councils with redrawn boundaries, and over 1,000 adjusted wards. See all the details in your seat: electoralcalculus.co.uk/newseatlookup.…