Michele (@nicolimichelegp) 's Twitter Profile
Michele

@nicolimichelegp

Finanza, Ciclismo e Formula 1

I ❤️ Cravatta 👔👔

ID: 941042468140789766

calendar_today13-12-2017 20:29:42

552 Tweet

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Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

1/ Exploring the Oil Market. Real vs. Derivative Trading Volumes. Why does this matter to retail traders? Let's see 🧵🛢️

Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

1/ We are seeing a weakening in the WTI prompt spreads. What is this, and why is it important to track? Let's take a look 🧵

1/ We are seeing a weakening in the WTI prompt spreads. What is this, and why is it important to track? 

Let's take a look 🧵
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

1/ Are you trading front-month futures? This thread dives into why open interest and volume in WTI crude oil futures are crucial elements of your trading Let's break it down 🧵

1/ Are you trading front-month futures? This thread dives into why open interest and volume in WTI crude oil futures are crucial elements of your trading 

Let's break it down 🧵
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Both Gold and Oil getting a boost from escalations in Ukraine. CL is already close to the 1D Max. Open interest in call options was up both in Brent and WTI. Brent biggest strike at 80, WTI at 75

Both Gold and Oil getting a boost from escalations in Ukraine. CL is already close to the 1D Max. Open interest in call options was up both in Brent and WTI. Brent biggest strike at 80, WTI at 75
gamma_exposure🇩🇪🇬🇧 (@tim10337907) 's Twitter Profile Photo

crack and the front month of CL. Its a sign of markets trading technical rather then supply/demand imo. notice how CTA´s have slight shorts into 2024, on top of that the switch in over one month in brent and diesel is pretty rapid according to the last table. Crude can run, so

crack and the front month of CL. Its a sign of markets trading technical rather then supply/demand imo. notice how CTA´s have slight shorts into 2024, on top of that the switch in over one month in brent and diesel is pretty rapid according to the last table. Crude can run, so
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Crude oil forward curve has really come down a lot in the front. While we are still in backwardation, you can see that compared to the past, there has been a significant shift lower which is in line with more bearish positioning we are seeing in the option market

Crude oil forward curve has really come down a lot in the front. While we are still in backwardation, you can see that compared to the past, there has been a significant shift lower which is in line with more bearish positioning we are seeing in the option market
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Crude oil is setting up for something interesting. Most Q-Scores are deeply negative including NetGex, the term structure has collapsed—clear signs of pressure. But seasonality is turning positive, and with the market this stretched, don’t rule out a sharp technical bounce. $CL

Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The oil market is hedging for disruption. The cost of protection is rising fast. Brent call skew is the most bullish since the Ukraine invasion.

The oil market is hedging for disruption.

The cost of protection is rising fast. 

Brent call skew is the most bullish since the Ukraine invasion.
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The $CL forward curve is now deeply backwardated—meaning near-term crude contracts are priced higher than longer-dated ones. Backwardation reflects market stress and urgency for physical barrels.

The $CL forward curve is now deeply backwardated—meaning near-term crude contracts are priced higher than longer-dated ones. 

Backwardation reflects market stress and urgency for physical barrels.
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Crude oil's breakout is gaining traction as Q-CTA positioning surges above neutral. Systematic flows are turning supportive just as inventories tighten and Middle East risks rise. Momentum is building.

Crude oil's breakout is gaining traction as Q-CTA positioning surges above neutral. 

Systematic flows are turning supportive just as inventories tighten and Middle East risks rise.

Momentum is building.
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If Iran moves to block the Strait of Hormuz — which handles ~25% of global oil flows it could send crude prices soaring and rattle the global economy. Even without deploying warships, drones, missiles, and fast patrol boats could make transit too risky for commercial shipping.

If Iran moves to block the Strait of Hormuz — which handles ~25% of global oil flows it could send crude prices soaring and rattle the global economy. 

Even without deploying warships, drones, missiles, and fast patrol boats could make transit too risky for commercial shipping.
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The futures forward curve in crude was already deeply backwardated—signaling tight supply expectations. If the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted, expect that backwardation to persist. Watch OVX (oil vol) closely. Gamma exposure in $CL is already skewed heavily to the upside.

The futures forward curve in crude was already deeply backwardated—signaling tight supply expectations. 

If the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted, expect that backwardation to persist. Watch OVX (oil vol) closely. Gamma exposure in $CL is already skewed heavily to the upside.
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$CL futures opened with a sharp move above Call Resistance and the 1D Max — a strong bullish impulse. But we’ve since pulled back below the 1D Max, signaling possible exhaustion. Keep an eye on these levels tomorrow — they’ll define the next move.

$CL futures opened with a sharp move above Call Resistance and the 1D Max — a strong bullish impulse.

But we’ve since pulled back below the 1D Max, signaling possible exhaustion.

Keep an eye on these levels tomorrow — they’ll define the next move.
Menthor Q (@menthorqpro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Oil steady near highs as Trump targets India-Russia crude trade, tightens Iran sanctions, and hints at more tariffs. Brent >$73, WTI ~$70, with supply risks and OPEC+ in focus.

Oil steady near highs as Trump targets India-Russia crude trade, tightens Iran sanctions, and hints at more tariffs. 

Brent >$73, WTI ~$70, with supply risks and OPEC+ in focus.
Class CNBC (@classcnbc) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Con 22 miliardi di euro, BlackRock guida la classifica dei grandi investitori istituzionali stranieri a Piazza Affari. Il colosso Usa ha una miriade di partecipazioni rilevanti tra cui Bpm, Unicredit, Intesa Sanpaolo, Mediobanca, Ferrari e Stellantis. Al secondo posto il fondo

Con 22 miliardi di euro, BlackRock guida la classifica dei grandi investitori istituzionali stranieri a Piazza Affari. Il colosso Usa ha una miriade di partecipazioni rilevanti tra cui Bpm, Unicredit, Intesa Sanpaolo, Mediobanca, Ferrari e Stellantis.

Al secondo posto il fondo