#everydaysexism: Many well-meaning colleagues have kindly congratulated me for winning the Caroline Herschel Prize for female scientists 🤨 So clarification: the William Herschel Medal, prev won by 3 Nobels, is #notjustforladies! (It's OK though colleagues, I'm super😲too!)

The headline story on FiveThirtyEight has the worst trend line I have ever seen in the wild: fivethirtyeight.com/features/ameri…

this still applies btw

Our latest VI poll has Labour with a *33pt* lead over the Tories, the highest of any recorded poll since the late 1990s. (Fieldwork 28-29 Sep) Con: 21% (-7 from 23-25 Sep) Lab: 54% (+9) Lib Dem: 7% (-2) Green: 6% (-1) Reform UK: 4% (+1) SNP: 5% (+1) yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…

How are emissions linked to our tax forecasts? Our latest working paper investigates, finding that three-quarters of the UK’s emissions are linked, with the associated tax revenues worth more than £50 billion. obr.uk/publication-of…

The harmonic mean of Cauchy random variables has a Cauchy distribution.

Come and watch the launch event - Running out of road? How to avoid (net) zero car taxation - with Lord Willetts Jonny Marshall Dr. Alison Todd from Office for Budget Responsibility Jillian Anable from Institute for Transport Studies at Leeds & Matthew Croucher from SMMT resolutionfoundation.org/events/running…

Speaking at our event, Alison Todd Office for Budget Responsibility says that fuel duty is a fairly unique example of how a fiscal lever can be directly used to reduce emissions. Other fiscal levers have a more diffuse impact.

How important is it that we replace the lost revenue from fuel duty, as drivers switch to tax exempt electric vehicles? Alison Todd from Office for Budget Responsibility told us that failing to do so could more than double the cost of net zero. Catch up on the event here 📽️👉 bit.ly/43gpX2N

How have higher gas prices affected energy supply and demand, and the costs and risks of meeting the UK’s net zero goals? OBR senior analyst Alison explains. #OBRfiscalrisks #energycrisis #netzero youtu.be/hKzJDxV6v_s

Huzzah! Posterior distributions in red. The shape of the tails, which isn't so obvious to the eye, can do weird but logical things.

Here is what I've been working on for the past year: the most detailed lightcurve of a nova eruption obtained with the NASA TESS space photometry mission

Flight attendant on a plane full of NeurIPS Conference attendees: "The ... tubes ... are waiting at the airplane door. Looks like they are tubes of art or ... architectural drawings?" I've never been more excited for a poster session.

FTFY

Coffee advice for those attending #AAS243 from someone who attended NeurIPS in December - get yourself down to Fourth Wall on Gravier Street. Great coffee, cute vibe, seemingly infinite seating.

Angela Rayner is going to have to get a restraining order on the dude in the Tories’ social media team who clearly has a thing for her

Share this if you’re voting Labour for our NHS tomorrow.

One Labour MP texts to ask if the Tory leadership result needs to be declared as a gift...