Nate Silver (@natesilver538) 's Twitter Profile
Nate Silver

@natesilver538

New Book, On The Edge, #5 NYT Bestseller! penguinrandomhouse.com/books/529280/o…

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calendar_today27-08-2008 20:56:45

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Nate Silver
@natesilver538

2 months ago

In PA, our polling averages had Harris +1.8 pre-DNC, but it's now Harris +1.0. That's before any convention bounce adjustment, which is implemented at a later stage of the model. In MI, the polling average has fallen from Harris +3.1 pre-DNC to Harris +1.9 now.