Michael Mina
@michaelmina_lab
Physician-Scientist, MD,PhD. Immunology, Epidemiology, Infectious disease, Autoimmunity, Biotech, Diagnostics, Math. CSO, CMO. Past: Harvard Faculty. DMโs Open
ID:1094762324097822720
11-02-2019 00:57:32
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No - the Absolute risk of severe COVID-19 disease (ICU admission, Death) in kids is *NOT* 4%
Not close!
Letโs do the math
Assume most kids have had COVID
US kids -> ~74M
x 4% = 3M ppl
The US has NOT had 3M ICU/deaths of children from COVID-19
#DenominatorsMatter
Why are organs shaped the way they are and how does anatomical differences between males and females arise? An unbelievable paper by Irene Miguel-Aliaga The Crick Imperial College London - Congrats to all! nature.com/articles/s4158โฆ
Michael Mina Exhibit 1: Waiting 2 months to *start* this risk assessment.
x.com/cdcflu/status/โฆ
New report in Cell Reports Medicine
Summary - The Immune System continues to work as expected and as it has for other respiratory viruses
A silver lining of COVID is it drove tons of immunology research - which will translate into improved treatments and vaccines for all pathogens
๐5๐1. ๐๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐ค๐ฃ๐ก๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฉ ๐ฃ๐๐๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐ข๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐ค๐ง๐๐, ๐๐ช๐ฉ ๐๐ก๐จ๐ค ๐๐๐๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐๐พ๐๐๐ฟ !
๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ช๐ณ๐ถ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฑ๐ต ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฉ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ด ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ง๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ.
pnas.org/doi/full/10.10โฆ