As the buzz from the latest GFS/GEM Op 'snowfest' dies down, let us share some more good news, an early Christmas present if you will. Free C3S #weather charts displaying the monthly weather anomalies across the Globe - available now at: met-set.com/labs

Latest forecasts (from C3S) for February showing quite a similar outlook in the different models for very mild south-westerly flow into NW Europe - strong ATL low pressure/Mainland Europe high - all except MeteoFrance which has a stronger high pressure. met-set.com/labs/

Strong/early final stratospheric warming event has brought a surface block (- NAO/AO) clear forecast for HNFZ regime in late Apr. However whilst this is the coldest regime in Feb (DOY33) - blocking doesn't have the same impact now - instead bringing near normal temps (DOY117)

Northerly coldest direction now. Outlook sees Nordic high (HNF=High over Norwegian sea and Fennoscandia, Z=cyclonic) shift to HNZ (just Norwegian Sea) opens the door to northerly. Colder version of this is NZ (Northerly Cyclonic) which threatens UK May Bank holiday of course...

Early/mid next week sees ATL ridge with low pressure Nordic, but slight shifts in the ridge make a difference. NWA (North-Westerly Anticyclone) where ridge extends into W Europe is warmer here with cold limited to NE Europe. NZ (Northerly cyclonic) keeps ridge west = cold widely

Westerly High this week - widely warm - wet/windy N Europe, dry/sunny mainland Europe, bit of cloud UK. Scandi-Conti High next week - widely calm/dry/sunny inc. Nordic, sunny UK bit of wind perhaps (more cloud/wind here if we switch to southerly type). Hot W/C Europe - cooler E