DCP 2 flows Liquidation, and in the absence of that the sharps buying back their shorts in hopes of re-loading higher Long is not a position

short 75.2k, i will be buying lower, much, much lower. The bullishness is misplaced

Got the equity weakness so far but gold correlated down so uhhh yeah Terrible entry but at the end of the day the path to new ATHs is pre-ordained Should've expected the cross-asset sell-off though

Rebalanced and moved the position to lighter

that said I did sell here, gonna wait for the conflict to be over, or for people to panic sell a lot more before I take on any more long-term positions

@skewga_hyper agreed. flight to safety (dollar) and deleveraging then it'll be one of the best performing assets out of the wreckage, albeit likely from lower. too consensus and positioning crowded but the petrodollar's legitimacy is being hurt severely accelerating preexisting trend. patience

Gonna go out on a limb and try to predict the next 3-4 weeks of PA Markets nuke early this week & at some point we get a HARD taco attempt. Huge squeeze, everyone thinks bottom is in Then something else happens shortly after or the war continues; bottom falls out, chaos ensues

The quiet part they don’t want you to notice is that these squeezes are the only bid sustaining the market. Static levels are getting a reaction sure, but you’re still swimming against the riptide and the continuous lower lows every week show as much

1/ the Resolv Labs and Stream Finance incidents showcase inherent risks of isolated margin money markets. lenders become the synthetic senior tranche to assets underwritten by risk curators while remaining largely unaware of the associated risk with their position.

Feels relevant again

The Gold question; how much demand destruction happens, and is it enough to cause disinflation after the first inflationary shock I suppose it depends mostly on how long the SoH remains closed

Doubled down on these, targetting NDX 22,251 & SP 6,155