A former Vancouver - Point Grey MLA looking to take over for an unpopular, long time incumbent Prime Minister right before a federal election? Sounds like a great idea, what’s the worst that could happen?

Has anyone looked at which polling companies exhibit the expected level of sampling variance and which (if any) exhibit less?

A Canadian newspaper implying “the border” should default refer to the one with Mexico and not the one with Canada is a choice.

If Kamala Harris wins by .1% in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, it's a sign that she picked a clever strategy and executed it well. If she loses by .1% here are a list of terrible choices that doomed her.

Prices can always seem high when you just make them up!

Messages like this are great, but should be coming from Elections BC and not politicians. Our work on election trust shows voters want to hear from election officials, not party leaders when it comes to election integrity. doi.org/10.1093/pnasne… #BCElections2024

Do you want to see how much the margin in a pre-election poll can vary based on "reasonable" decisions by a pollster? Check this out: disq.us/t/4rd8rfy

Final Times/SAY24 YouGov poll Oct. 25-31, likely voters Arizona: Tied Georgia: Trump +1 Michigan: Harris +3 Nevada: Harris +1 North Carolina: Trump +1 Pennsylvania: Harris +3 Wisconsin: Harris +4 today.yougov.com/politics/artic…

In an age of 2% response rates for phone surveys and non probability online samples, I wonder how we produce estimates from a poll without any statistical modeling.

With 0% reporting, Harris is now TIED with Trump in WYOMING, the REDDEST state in the country - and a MASSIVE 44% swing left from 2020! Analysts says that while it's early, Harris is clearly about to win in the biggest landslide of all time.

Judging from my Twitter feed, things are either very good for Democrats or very bad for Democrats so far.

I wish there was a needle.

They should get rid of the needle.