A couple of folks have crunched the numbers (Evercore ISI - their chart, below; Omair Sharif) and concluded that the U.S. weighted average tariff, with all Trump's new orders in effect, will be higher than under Smoot-Hawley.

Tariffs hit Southeast Asia hard. Regions doesn’t want to choose between US and China, but if forced to, Washington isn’t going to like the answer. What does the US have to offer? Doubt Xi will come with empty hands when he visits SE Asia this month bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Taiwan’s military says it wants enough attack drones and a strong, independent supply chain to defend against a possible attack from China. Jaime Ocon 歐海美 spoke to Kelly Grieco about what a "hellscape strategy" entails.

Get this to the Army pronto. twz.com/land/usmcs-tom…

#Taiwan🇹🇼 is investing in indigenous drone systems & independent supply chains. The goal is to build a credible deterrent in the #TaiwanStrait that no aggressor would dare test. This asymmetric defense strategy reflects our resolve to safeguard sovereignty & democracy. (📸MND)

A U.S. navy ship appears to have sailed through the Taiwan Strait on Wednesday. The transit has not been confirmed by Taiwan or the U.S. TaiwanPlus looks at data from Taiwan Security Monitor and speaks to Kelly Grieco for more.

Thanks to Greg Myre and NPR for the chance to reflect on Trump’s foreign policy. a 💯 days into his second term. npr.org/transcripts/nx…

🔊In a new segment of All Things Considered from NPR, Senior Fellow Kelly Grieco spoke with Greg Myre on the second Trump administration's approach to US foreign policy. Listen to the full segment 🎧 npr.org/2025/05/01/nx-…

As Max Bremer and I have argued, warfare today favors air denial. “Several American F-16s and an F-35 fighter jet were nearly struck by Houthi air defenses…” nytimes.com/2025/05/12/us/…

What's the the Indo-Pacific's equivalent of Ukraine's drone trucks? Containerized missile ships. 👇 usni.org/magazines/proc…

Reflecting on Ukraine’s recent drone strikes, I’m reminded of this warning from Max Bremer & me: The USAF’s problem isn’t budget—it’s a culture averse to risk, leaving it vulnerable to surprise, from Pearl Harbor to 9/11. breakingdefense.com/2025/02/the-us…

🔊"The Russians are always sort of playing catch-up, and...the Ukrainians are the one innovating first and trying these sort of daring creative attacks," comments Senior Fellow Kelly Grieco in the latest segment on NPR. 🎧Listen to the full segment below npr.org/2025/06/02/nx-…

The administration - and Steve Witkoff - were about to start the next round of negotiations to reach a deal with Iran. This attack by Netanyahu is pure sabotage. What does “America First” even mean if Trump allows Netanyahu to drag the country into a war Americans don’t want?

The Israeli strike is reckless and blatantly seeks to sabotage the Trump admin’s diplomacy with Iran. This Israeli attack undermines US interests, and Trump should direct the US military to stand down and not aid in Israel’s defense. Period.

There is not a single historical example of airpower alone achieving regime change. Tactical success ≠strategic success. reuters.com/world/middle-e…

For decades, the U.S. was seen as a stable, committed global power anchoring alliances in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. But under Trump, that reliability is being questioned. In partnership with Council on Foreign Relations, Georgetown SFS's Charles Kupchan and @cfr_org's Dr. Liana Fix debate

“Let’s not confuse reliability with whether Trump is polite.” Stimson Center's Kelly Grieco argues the U.S. shows up when it counts. But Council on Foreign Relations's Dr. Liana Fix pushes back: “...perhaps we should ask those on the receiving end.” She argues that for many allies, Trump’s words suggest

ATTENTION TAIWAN DEFENSE WATCHERS 🇹🇼 It's Han Kuang season (漢光 41) and we now know what this year's exercises will entail, a thread 🧵: Taiwan Security Monitor PLATracker Damien Symon Charlie B Aadil Brar K. Tristan Tang Taiwan Defense Taiwan Defense News Tracker 🇹🇼 Rush Doshi Lyle Morris

Six days after Israel’s strikes on Iran, Xi and Putin spoke on the phone. Xi sounded like a commentator, saying the conflict "once again proves the world is entering a new period of transformation." When Tehran looked for help, Beijing and Moscow stayed on the sidelines.

Zineb Riboua 4/ “The Axis of Upheaval was always more Washington's imagination than reality,” said Kelly Grieco “What Iran, China, Russia and North Korea share is a common adversary, the U.S.” “Beyond that, these countries share limited interests and the political cohesion among them as a