Ukraine will be outgunned by Russia 10 to 1 in weeks without US help, top Europe general says —An ongoing disaster for US and NATO security. A minority of House Republicans prompted by Trump are about to crash Ukraine. Shameful. apnews.com/article/b263df…

Ein Tabu fällt: Lars Klingbeil 🇪🇺 will der #Ukraine eingefrorenes russ. Vermögen geben. Weltweit 300 mrd $. Ein Vielfaches dessen, was Kyiv bisher vom Westen bekommen hat. Das wagt nicht mal der Ukrainefreund Habeck. Herr Klingbeil, ziehen Sie das durch!
web.de/magazine/polit…

Notable that Speaker Johnson is trying a new rhetorical tack on Ukraine aid: essentially, pass the military aid package so a possible Trump admin can get a durable peace deal.

That line may help get some GOP members onside, but Johnson needs to act soon.

The PRC, Iran, and DPRK are sustaining Russia’s economy and enabling it to continue its aggression in Ukraine. This new axis of adversaries will create strategic dilemmas within an increasingly challenging international security environment. 9/14

On Russia, PRC, DPRK and Iran:
This [Russia, PRC, DPRK and Iran] block of adversaries is more cohesive and dangerous than any threat the United States has faced in decades. 8/14

Regardless of the outcome of the war in 94 Ukraine, Russia will be larger, more lethal, and angrier with the West than when it invaded. 7/14

Russia has suffered, losing over 2,000 tanks and 315,000 soldiers wounded or dead. However, Russia is reconstituting that force far faster than our initial estimates suggested. 5/14

“Should he be elected to a second term, Trump will likely disrupt the entire transatlantic relationship far more than he did during his first presidency.” Dr. Liana Fix and Michael Kimmage weigh in on what a second Trump term would mean for European security:
trib.al/ci8KXpy

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Listen to this great episode 👇

Johnson’s refusal to meet David Cameron, who was going to lobby him for more aid for Ukraine, is also pretty telling

Nearly 4 years ago I warned about Jan Marsalek's links to Russian intel services. Little did I know that by then, he was already investigating me, using corrupted Austrian security offices, at the request of Russian intelligence services. What a meta story derstandard.at/story/30000002…

“Fears about a second Trump term often crystallize around the discrete decisions he might take,” write Dr. Liana Fix and Michael Kimmage. “But it is Trump’s mercurial nature, more than his ideals, that could wreak havoc.”
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Yes Carl Bildt - it never ceases to surprise me what a good job DC does with planting flowers in public spaces - tulips and daffodils everywhere. This is from Georgetown this weekend 👇

The Kremlin seems to have launched a campaign in support of Trump in an attempt to link the terrorist attack in Crocus with Ukraine-USA and ..Burisma (!):

“Should he be elected to a second term, Trump will likely disrupt the entire transatlantic relationship far more than he did during his first presidency.” Dr. Liana Fix and Michael Kimmage weigh in on what a second Trump term would mean for European security:
trib.al/HV25u7C

So many good books have arrived since I‘m back in the office! Michael Kimmage Serhii Plokhy Jade McGlynn Hal Brands Luke Harding Christopher Miller Yaroslav Trofimov peter pomerantsev

Such a great conference by Sara Bjerg Moller with a wonderful dinner at Riggs Library on beautiful Georgetown University spring campus 👇

Japanese PM Kishida will land in Washington tonight. He & Biden will announce that the US & Japan are planning the biggest upgrade to the alliance since the 1960 mutual defence treaty. #BigWeekForIndoPacific

Here is our #scoop from a few weeks ago. 👇

on.ft.com/49puTo9

Two years after Putin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine and following sanctions, Russia’s economy is still afloat and even growing. Why? Discussed that with Benjamin Bidder and Ann-Dorit Boy from SPIEGEL English.
Key takeaways in a short thread 👇👇👇
spiegel.de/international/…