Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profileg
Julian Jessop FRSA

@julianHjessop

Independent economist. Likes charts. IEA Economics Fellow. Speakers for Schools. Geller Commission. COYG. Own views, etc. I fund myself. See website for more πŸ‘‡

ID:42622053

linkhttps://julianhjessop.com/about/ calendar_today26-05-2009 13:19:42

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Kemi Badenoch(@KemiBadenoch) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The hysterical reaction by the Guardian-reading left to my speech on how smart regulation creates growth is fascinating πŸ˜€

I quote one of my favourite books β€œWhy Nations Fail”. It explains how property rights & rule of law created certainty for the industrial revolution. (1/3)

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Important point on sales (also flagged up by Kien Tan)... πŸ‘‡

The data are reported after large seasonal adjustments, which are obviously necessary (think Xmas) but also inevitably imprecise (esp. with variable timing of Easter).

Bear this in mind when you see

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More evidence that the UK economy returned to growth in Q1... πŸ‘‡

sales were flat in March, but the rebound in January and small upward revision to February mean that sales volumes rose by 1.9% in Q1 compared to Q4 2023.

(My guess: rose by at least 0.4% q/q)

More evidence that the UK economy returned to growth in Q1... πŸ‘‡ #Retail sales were flat in March, but the rebound in January and small upward revision to February mean that sales volumes rose by 1.9% in Q1 compared to Q4 2023. (My guess: #GDP rose by at least 0.4% q/q)
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Another tweak in the gradual rollout of post- border checks, which should minimise any remaining risks of disruption πŸ‘‡

(Still frustrating though: repeated delays are adding to business uncertainty, which is not good for trade or investment πŸ™„)

Another tweak in the gradual rollout of post-#Brexit border checks, which should minimise any remaining risks of disruption πŸ‘‡ (Still frustrating though: repeated delays are adding to business uncertainty, which is not good for trade or investment πŸ™„)
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An interesting interpretation of the data in the chart (even if you can't read German, the sodding great big arrow pointing upwards is a clue πŸ˜‰)...

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'Birmingham doctor could be struck off after Just Stop Oil protest'

This is a non-story, surely?

Of course the regulator will take an interest when a doctor is sent to prison. But it seems extremely unlikely she would be 'struck off' in this case.

bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…

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Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

ICYM, this is a decent (and worrying) report from the Nuffield Trust. It covers a lot of ground, but here are four observations on the headlines about medicine shortages…

1. There is no hard evidence that these shortages are worse in the UK than in the EU. Indeed, the report

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πŸ“’ 'chart of the day' πŸ€“

UK prices are still rising at an annual rate of 4% in the latest CPI, but producer input price in this sector has now been negative for five successive months.

This should continue to feed through to the shops, with the usual lags πŸ‘‡

πŸ“’ 'chart of the day' πŸ€“ UK #food prices are still rising at an annual rate of 4% in the latest CPI, but producer input price #inflation in this sector has now been negative for five successive months. This should continue to feed through to the shops, with the usual lags πŸ‘‡
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