James A. Lewis (@james_a_lewis) 's Twitter Profile
James A. Lewis

@james_a_lewis

"An expert is a man who has made all the mistakes that can be made in a very narrow field." (Niels Bohr, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1922)

ID: 17634444

linkhttp://csis.org/expert/james-andrew-lewis calendar_today25-11-2008 22:46:12

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Would this include Sweden and France, those well known autocracies? Usual NYT hysteria. Better to think about how the Dems avoid losing again and again.

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FT: Ren "hinted...Huawei could “compensate” for poorer performance through cluster computing, which involves linking multiple chips to boost AI server power." True 20 years ago, true today and why blocking chip exports (instead of capital goods) is dumb ft.com/content/83ffcf…

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Policies designed for the bifurcated world of the Cold War don't work in today's deeply interconnected world The larger problem is that sprinkling AI fairy dust over military problems provides only a marginal increase in the likelihood of victory. wsj.com/tech/china-ai-…

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N.B. The two Cold War competitors were almost hermetically sealed, with about only $15 billion in trade (in 2024 dollars) in 1980 compared to $423 billion in goods imported from China in 2023.

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I know how he feels: "Disillusioned polisci professor at Fudan believes what he studies and teaches to be a "self-indulgent fantasy. Liu Jianjun: "Liberal arts will not disappear, but they need to shrink" eastisread.com/p/liu-jianjun-…

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"a fatal political miscalculation. Over decades, Tehran underinvested in. . .defenses and bet instead on the deterren[ce]. wsj.com/livecoverage/i…

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#WSJ provides another example of the absurd reductionist argument that having the best chip means one has the best military. And any US monopoly is fragile wsj.com/politics/natio…

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At an Embassy dinner last night with people talking about Iran, I said I didn't want to go back (to the Middle East). I should have added "until we figure out why we didn't win the last two."

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The analogy of Britain vs Germany in 1900 is a bit strained, but the "arms race" back then was in battleship building. Why don't people talk about a carrier arms race between the US and China? I'd much rather face some dodgy AI software than an aircraft carrier.

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Having done arms sales at State, there is no "kill switch," but turning off the spare parts pipeline degrades performance in a few months and leads to fewer operational aircraft. wsj.com/video/series/i…

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Consistency! Here's Pres.Coolidge saying in 1924 what GOP Senators say today about #taxes: "I am convinced that the larger incomes of the country would actually yield more revenue to the government if the basis of taxation were scientifically revised downward." PS: didn't work

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Chris and I have resuscitated "Inside Cyber Diplomacy (Redux)." Thanks to Allison Pytlak, Senior Fellow and Director of the Cyber Program at the Stimson Center, for being the test pilot. We have 2 more queued up and will shoot for one a month. cepa.org/podcast/inside…

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Is the source of this chart China's semi-official outlet, Global Times? China's government is going out of its way to conceal an economic downturn. globaltimes.cn/page/202503/13…

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Europe need to stop announcing that it is about to catch up to the US and start looking at China, which is surpassing it in innovation and leads the world in manufacturing. imf.org/en/Publication…

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In I thinking about it, the Chinese are a greater threat as they have digital supply opportunities the Russians cannot match