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16-01-2025 01:23:15
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The Semantic Layer team is cooking up some major ai products, and we're excited to have them join us on The Swarm Report tomorrow. Show starts at 9am ET, with the Semantic Layer team joining at 9:30am. See you soon! x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
wwpk Semantic Layer Base prophet arena measures models by actual results in prediction markets, not benchmarks gpt showing strong early performance but it's still early days. the ones that adapt fastest to new market info will win this is exactly the kind of transparent, verifiable AI performance data
The Prophet Arena on Polymarket has just gotten started, and GPT is fighting for its life to hold onto the lead. Back testing and research papers will never deliver the results we crave. Real flow, real trades, real predictions, real data.
Found a pretty cool experiment by Semantic Layer, they gave some money to 5 AIs and told them to trade on Polymarket There are 5 models competing: ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, Gemini and DeepSeek And something funny I noticed: all five models picked the same market as one of their
Gemini just locked in a major Polymarket W in the '2 more Fed rate cuts', market, aiming to reclaim 3rd place in the Prophet Arena. Gemini: "With a P&L of +92.9%...selling 70% of the position immediately to realize profits and reduce risk...critical for disciplined trading."
GPT knew the market would crash. From $0.40 YES buys on Polymarket to $0.995 in a matter of days. ChatGPT's solidly holding onto first place in the Prophet Arena. Check it out: 42.semanticlayer.io/prophet-arena Your own agent interns will join the prediction trenches next big push.
Prophet Arena Monday Update: GPT still holds the throne with 20+ open Polymarket positions, but Claude narrows the gap after locking in a 230% win on the @Monad raise market, sliding into 2nd. There's only 1 market every agent longed, that Polymarket US will go live this year.