Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile
Carroll Doherty

@carrolldoherty

Public opinion, political data, ex-journo Former director of political research at Pew Research, senior writer at CQ

ID: 116775999

calendar_today23-02-2010 14:54:45

12,12K Tweet

8,8K Takipçi

9,9K Takip Edilen

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Wow - only 48% of 12th graders say that if they get married, they're very likely to have children. That's down from 64% three decades ago. pewresearch.org/short-reads/20…

Wow  - only 48% of 12th graders say that if they get married, they're very likely to have children. 
That's down from 64% three decades ago.
pewresearch.org/short-reads/20…
Amy Walter (@amyewalter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

All politics is local..until it’s not. Many who think things are good/bad at home, see national picture much differently. But, the new American Communities Project survey, finds Americans see inflation as their biggest nat’l and local concern.

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

When Obama threatened US airstrikes against Syria in 2013, 75% of Republicans (vs just 47% of Democrats) said Congress should have 'final authority' on the decision. pewresearch.org/politics/2013/…

When Obama threatened US airstrikes against Syria in 2013, 75% of Republicans (vs just 47% of Democrats) said Congress should have 'final authority' on the decision. 
pewresearch.org/politics/2013/…
Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

New survey of immigrants from @kff & The New York Times finds fear, concern, but also this: 78% of immigrants in US say they've achieved the American dream (or are on way to achieving it). That's higher than the share of all Americans who said that in 2024 (67%) kff.org/racial-equity-…

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Mark Sanford? The GOP class of '94 guy? The guy who famously didn't hike the Appalachian Trail? Who once trailed Donald Trump 95-2 in an SC primary poll (really)? Wonders never cease

Ethan C7 (@ecaliberseven) 's Twitter Profile Photo

An important quirk of generic ballot polls is that most are among RVs atm instead of LVs. Thus, if one side (Dems) has a turnout edge, the current GB underrates them. Marquette: RVs: D+5 LVs: D+9 Cygnal (voted in X of the Last 4 Elections): 1/4: TIE 2/4: R+1 3/4: D+12 4.4: D+7

An important quirk of generic ballot polls is that most are among RVs atm instead of LVs. Thus, if one side (Dems) has a turnout edge, the current GB underrates them.

Marquette:
RVs: D+5
LVs: D+9

Cygnal (voted in X of the Last 4 Elections):
1/4: TIE
2/4: R+1
3/4: D+12
4.4: D+7
The Chronicle of Higher Education (@chronicle) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Jeffrey Epstein’s close ties to researchers and higher education has long been well documented. Newly released documents reveal researchers Epstein supported long turned to Epstein for advice on research, personal relationships, and even sexual harassment allegations.

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If reports of Trump's deal w/Russia to end Ukraine conflict are true, he won't get much pushback from his base (unlike, say, on Epstein files). In Aug. Gallup survey, 69% of Reps favored ending war ASAP even if it means Russia gets to keep captured land. news.gallup.com/poll/694496/am…

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Actually nice to know that in this era of online panels, mixed modes, weighting to multiple parameters etc., outliers can still happen.

Lakshya Jain (@lxeagle17) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Argument/Verasight poll (11/10-11/17, 1508 RV) 2026 Generic Ballot 🟦Democrats 45.5% 🟥Republicans 41.5% ...pushing undecideds: 🟦Democrats 53% 🟥Republicans 47% ...among those who say they are likely to vote: 🟦Democrats 53.8% 🟥Republicans 46.2% theargumentmag.com/p/2026-is-look…

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Good line in this The Wall Street Journal story on the closing of Bedichek Middle School, where the Richard Linklater classic "Dazed and Confused" was filmed. "While its students got older, Bedichek, for decades, stayed the same age." wsj.com/us-news/austin…

Glenn Thrush (@glennthrush) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The jaw-dropping -- "excruciatingly awkward" -- courtroom saga of Lindsey Halligan, whose hasty deployment by Trump to indict Comey led to a series of unfortunate (and possibly case-killing) events. Vividly-told tale via Alan Feuer & Devlin Barrett nytimes.com/2025/11/19/us/…

Carroll Doherty (@carrolldoherty) 's Twitter Profile Photo

And people wonder why Americans are so cynical about politics. This open end Q from 2023 said it all. pewresearch.org/politics/2023/…

And people wonder why Americans are so cynical about politics. This open end Q from 2023 said it all. 
pewresearch.org/politics/2023/…
Amy Walter (@amyewalter) 's Twitter Profile Photo

How will we know we’re in an environment that could see Dems with a 30+ seat pickup? Trump +10-15 seats, like these, look super vulnerable: AZ-02, KY-06, FL-27, MN-08, MO-02, NY-02, SC-02, NC-07, AK-AL, NE-01, SC-01, NJ-02, FL-07, VA-05, MN-01, FL-13. cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…

Josh Billinson (@jbillinson) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Incredibly funny that Ryan Lizza’s Part 2 has been out for hours but nobody is talking about it because even the biggest media gossips are tired of paying for more Substacks

CBS News Poll (@cbsnewspoll) 's Twitter Profile Photo

*New* CBS News poll: Most would oppose U.S. military action in Venezuela, say Trump hasn't explained Those prioritizing economy say Trump not spending enough time on it, as ratings of economy, handling of inflation slip tinyurl.com/drcb2b57