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US-China deal? 1) Trump said US would lower tariffs to 80% or so, thus giving China face-save it needed to start talks (e.g. spin: US asked and admitted they were wrong and would lower tariffs, so we can talk with mutual respect for mutual gain), 2) US removed all the

“The Geneva agreement represents an almost complete U.S. retreat that vindicates Xi’s decision to forcefully retaliate.” nytimes.com/2025/05/12/bus… via @NYTimes

"[I]t is possible to identify at least 10 moments leading up to the election that cumulatively pushed Chinese-Australian communities towards their final rejection of the Liberal Party." Wanning Sun lists these in Pearls and Irritations's Pearls and Irritations bit.ly/4mbTG6Q

My Australia-China Relations Institute colleague, Elena Collinson @elenacollinson.bsky.social quick off the mark with this analysis of new Liberal Party leader Sussan Ley's positions on China (as well as references to new Deputy Ted O'Brien) and the challenges they will together have to manage. UTS uts.edu.au/news/2025/05/s… ).

China releases new White paper on National Security english.scio.gov.cn/whitepapers/20…

Last week James Laurenceson 罗震 @j-laurenceson.bsky.social joined former Ambassador Geoff Raby, Rebecca Tomkinson CMEWA, Gordon Flake Perth USAsia Centre and Sandy Chong ASEAN Business Alliance to discuss 'What does great power competition in today’s world mean for Australia?' at a forum hosted by ACBC WA

Well said, Australian Trade Minister Don Farrell: "we want to do more business with China. We’ll make decisions about how we continue to engage with China based on our national interests and not on what the Americans may or may not want". afr.com/politics/feder…

"There will be no singular winner in the AI cold war [between the US and the PRC]... Non-alignment is becoming untenable. From Australia to ASEAN, governments are being nudged toward one bloc or another," writes Marina Yue Zhang in The Diplomat bit.ly/4kn7QAf

What does the recent #US-#China trade war de-escalation mean for #Australia? And how should 🇦🇺 respond to #AUKUS partner, the #UK, striking a preferential deal with #Trump? Pleased to share my new piece for Asialink Insights. UTS University of Melbourne asialink.unimelb.edu.au/diplomacy/risk…

Yesterday, the National Party formally withdrew from its longstanding partnership with the Liberal Party. What does the Coalition split mean for opposition coherence on China policy? I lay out Littleproud & the Nationals’ positioning in an Australia-China Relations Institute brief bit.ly/4jbnHkA

A statement from Sally Kornbluth, President of MIT

My latest analysis: what China has been saying about the trade war, Taiwan, Europe, and Russia, over the past six months. Find it at Australia Institute australiainstitute.org.au/report/chinese…

Exceptional brief by Frank Yuan Australia Institute on Chinese foreign policy as put by China's political leaders & well-placed commentators. It covers: US-China trade war, Taiwan and the 'one-China policy', Europe and US-Europe relations & Russia-Ukraine. australiainstitute.org.au/wp-content/upl…

(1 of 3) This piece spotlights the risk for China that prolongation of the US-China trade war could destroy 6-9 million manufacturing jobs. I agree this is a risk, but I do not get a sense China's leaders are losing a lot of sleep over this risk. nytimes.com/2025/05/27/bus…

My latest: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

REPORT | 2025 Doing Business in China A new report led by AustCham China with support from UTS:ACRI and ACBC provides a timely snapshot of business sentiment and operational conditions across the Australia-China business corridor. bit.ly/45chtNZ

Great to be in Beijing yesterday for the launch of AustCham China’s “2025 Doing business in China” survey report. Australia-China Relations Institute was delighted to be a supporting organisation and provide some analysis around the numbers. Full report 👇 uts.edu.au/news/2025/06/2… UTS UTS Business School

The 2025 Doing Business in China survey report, led by AustCham China with support from Australia-China Relations Institute (including post-collection data analysis provided by James Laurenceson 罗震 @j-laurenceson.bsky.social) and ACBC is out now. Some key data points 👇

UTS:ACRI Adjunct A/Prof Michael Clarke critically examines the way in which the Hawke, Keating & Howard govts both conceived of the strategic challenges posed by a rising, authoritarian PRC, & framed their responses to it - via International Politics journal bit.ly/3HrTxwi

On Darwin Port, “Even leaving aside Beijing’s reaction, given that the US is taking economic policy actions plainly not in AU’s interests, I think the prime minister… would much prefer the asset is held by an AU entity,” James Laurenceson 罗震 @j-laurenceson.bsky.social tells South China Morning Post bit.ly/4kt6QLo