Polymarket launched 5-minute BTC markets 4 days ago. They're already taking two thirds of BTC prediction volume from the 15-minute markets. Day 1: 5-min markets had 32% share. $12.8M vs $27.7M for the established 15-min markets. Day 2: 47%. Almost even. Day 3: 57%. The 5-min

23 wallets made 45% of all trades in Polymarket's 5-minute BTC markets. There are 31,000 wallets total. I classified every wallet active in these markets between Feb 12-17 using three signals: hours active per day, trades per hour, and trade size consistency. Four groups

I mapped 46 million trades in Polymarket's 5-minute BTC markets by hour of day. Expected a flat 24/7 line — bots never sleep. Got a 36% daily swing instead. The quietest hour is 06 UTC (7am London, 2am New York): 1.63 million trades. The busiest is 17 UTC (6pm London, noon New

Trade sizes double as a Polymarket prediction market approaches resolution. I tracked 70.6 million trades from market open to close across Feb 12 to Mar 1. I divided each market lifecycle into four phases based on time elapsed. The average trade size grows 72% from start to

How do you know if your stablecoin yield is actually good? Without a benchmark, you're guessing. I built a DeFi Stablecoin Yield Index. It tracks the TVL-weighted average of base APY across major lending protocols on six blockchains, updated daily over 208 days. Only organic

Trade sizes double as a Polymarket prediction market approaches resolution. I tracked 70.6 million trades across their full lifecycle. Average trade size grows 72% from market open to close. $4.90 in the first 20%. $8.42 in the final 20%. Fewer traders, bigger positions. The

Most people park stablecoins in Aave at 2.5% and call it done. That's leaving $1,850 to $4,150 per year on the table for every $50,000. I split $50K four different ways and got yields between 6.2% and 10.8%. Same stablecoins, different venues. The constraints force

554 wallets out of 108,885 control half of all volume on Polymarket's crypto prediction markets. I bucketed every wallet by total trading volume over 18 days. The bottom 41% of wallets, those under $100 total, account for 0.2% of volume. The top 0.5%, wallets above $100K,

One minute before a Polymarket 5-minute market resolves, the winning token is trading at $0.86. The losing token at $0.15. The market figured out the answer with 60 seconds to spare. I tracked 55.5 million trades across 11,656 resolved BTC markets. In the first minute both