chaonaut
@hypertravel
ID: 46613530
12-06-2009 08:46:49
41 Tweet
60 Followers
374 Following
Will the rallies continue until super-spreading is proved? UW's Trevor Bedford estimates ~570 cases in WA, a state of 7.5 million. So an event with >9120 people chosen at random from WA has >50% chance of having at least one case. That's how super-spreading happens. Here's the math.
If Nassim Nicholas Taleb taught me anything : (1) Don’t try to predict extreme events, it’s impossible (2) Take steps so that negative extreme events don’t kill you and positive ones benefit you hugely, that’s feasible (3) … (4) Profit and live happily