Let’s see how the planning for this and the development of the agenda shakes out. Gaps in the U.S. #natsec process will complicate matters.

A bit surprised to hear that #Ukraine doesn’t have a navy as two Ukrainian naval officers joined this year’s class at U.S. Naval War College …

Modi in Beijing, UAE’s MbZ in Moscow, Putin to meet Trump, then Modi, and regular confab with Xi later in the year …

Yes, because relationships built by lots of people over 25 years don’t evaporate in a puff of smoke in just 72 hours. But longer term enabling conditions are going to be more problematic now.

But within Europe, some are more irrelevant than others… and regrettably, Poland is conspicuously absent from the picture.

“The trip would be Modi’s first to China in seven years and pave the way for Modi to meet President Xi Jinping for the first time since they came face to face in Russia 10 months ago.” scmp.com/news/china/dip…

Good piece Bloomberg on the challenges sanctions can pose to efforts to scrap sanctioned vessels, significant workarounds, long payment terms and many intermediaries involved. But this market seems to be opening as shadow fleet gets bigger and more sanctioned

Hey Nombe friends on the coast: join us in Half Moon Bay tomorrow Hop Dogma Brewing Co for a little sun, beer and #Japanese Street food. We'll be serving our Ramenburgers, AvoFries, Japanese Poutine, fried chicken, sushi and more. Join us from 12-7 at Hop Dogma tomorrow!

Still have my doubts if the meeting will happen and most likely it will be a photo-op, not a substantive discussion. Again, we come back to the gap between broad brush announcements versus nitty-gritty boring work of the fine print details.

Reminder: whether the Japan/ EU trade deals, Armenia-Azerbaijan deal, etc. what we have are framework agreements, not finalized treaties. The small print needs to be filled in and relevant ratifications obtained. But media reporting gives the impression that these are finalized.

Chips ≠ compute. Making energy the true bottleneck for AI.

Looking forward to Foreign Policy Research Institute John Sitilides discussion!

In 2009/10 was writing for World Politics Review about the need for the U.S. to have a sustained, consistent high level engagement with Brazil and India otherwise we’d see this trend develop over time …

Reupping this thread about #BudapestMemorandum as I see misunderstandings again arising about what the U.S. agreed to.