🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

Israel struck Iranian oil infrastructure, raising concerns about the global energy security. Firas Maksad tells me how this could be a move by Netanyahu to drag the U.S. into the conflict.

Any given Sunday. #Lebanon sunbathers out in full force after a night show of #Iran vs #Israel in their skies ☀️😎⛱️

Israel is going up the escalatory ladder, targeting #Iran’s energy infrastructure & setting in motion dynamics that could destabilize the GCC & purposefully draw in the US. Early reaction from Washington indicates displeasure. Can Bibi persuade Trump again? BBC News (World) Emma Vardy

Closing the Strait of Hormuz is Iran's last big card to play, says our expert Gregory Brew. But Tehran is unlikely to do so, as it would hurt Iran economically and immediately trigger a response from the US and the GCC. rferl.org/a/iran-israel-…

Our expert Firas Maksad says that Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar are worried that Israel may weaken Iran, but not finish the job. Firas says these countries prefer diplomacy, but if there is to be conflict, they want it to be decisive. washingtonpost.com/world/2025/06/…

Why Trump called to evacuate Tehran: “There are more than 10 nuclear targets in the Tehran area itself. We are on the verge of destroying these sites.” (#Israel defense minister)

In 3 days, we went from US redline being #Iran striking at US interests or personnel, to an ultimatum to forgo enrichment or else US enters the war. That is a very significant shift from defense to offense. Bibi riding high. Tucker Carlson, not so much.

There is still a window for diplomatic breakthrough with #Iran. It entails US focus on “no pathway to nuclear bomb” & dismantling Fardow rather than “zero enrichment.” GCC are big winners to date, but #Israel can throw a curve ball by attacking Kharg… more with Becky Anderson

“Unlike 2019, an attack against #Saudi will illicit a response on #Iran.”

1/10 The US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities is an unprecedented event that may prove to be transformational for Iran, the Middle East, US foreign policy, global non-proliferation, and potentially even the global order. Its impact will be measured for decades to come. 🧵

The US has bombed Fordow. It has very likely used enough force to significantly damage, if not destroy, the enrichment facility. We likely won't know for quite some time. It's possible we may never know, as that will be a big part of Iran's response. 1/

A direct & indirect response from #Iran is coming. Direct will be choreographed & telegraphed to remain below threshold off a US response that threatens regime. Think post killing of Qassem Suleimani, but more intense, & with involvement of proxies. Communication channels open.

This is not remotely what Saudi diplomats say privately or publicly. On the contrary, Riyadh views Tel Aviv as the source of even more instability in the region than it did before (warontherocks.com/2025/04/for-sa…). If anything, prospects went dramatically down (through the floor).

My New York Times Opinion on Iran's looming transition: Wars strengthen nascent revolutionary regimes; military humiliations weaken aging ones. Iran has the human capital and resources to be a G20 nation; less than 25% of authoritarian collapses lead to democracy. nytimes.com/2025/06/23/opi…

Al Udeid is a sprawling military compound, divided into a Qatari & non Qatari side, where U.S. Central Command operates from. Just US military personnel, no families allowed. Far from civilian areas. Visited multiple times. Hoping for no loss of life if there’s incoming from #Iran 👀

extraordinary demonstration of iranian weakness. of the three parties fighting, iran has accordingly become the most risk averse.

Announcing a ceasefire & dubbing it the 12-day war (emphasizing brevity) is so on brand for Trump. A victory no doubt, but dealing with the highly enriched uranium still unaccounted for in #Iran will pose a challenge. As the news broke with legendary Barbara Starr