(63,000*0.5) + (63,000*0.5) = $63k exposure, not 86k. The 86k in the profile header refers to the total of all his active positions across all markets. This is your reminder that 95% of people writing lengthy posts about PM ‘strategies’ can’t even do first-grade arithmetic

"exits as the line finally catches up" this profile only ever buys shares. He doesn't "eixt as the line finally catches up". He just holds until resolution. Could've taken you two seconds to figure out had you looked at the 'activity' tab. I swear 95% of these 'pm strategy'

This has to be ragebait right

These degenerate posts need to stop. The 'strategy' described here (and many similar posts by equally clueless people) relies on the delusion that market participants are charitable. For one, liquidity is not free money. A humongous spread doens't mean that you get to earn the

manually makes two trades and is already calculating APR. Dont be shy! Should've come back with sortino, sharpe, drawdown stdev, and a jpeg of equity curve as well. You'll bleed (money); it just takes a few dozen more trades to find out.

rite of passage

140k retweets but only 700 likes. Not even scams are sophisticated anymore smh

> “algorithmic strategy” > uses api calls to fetch price data > trading signal is 1.5% change over a 5s window “It’s just a mock file bro” yeah that makes it even worse. You wouldn’t waterboard this out of anyone with more than 2 brain cells

one proxy for how knowledgeable you are about something is how often you find yourself thinking "wtf is this garbage" when asking even the sota ai models to do/think about something

- you're passing the condition ID as the market paramater, but the market parameter refers to the clob token ID of either Up or Down - you're passing startTs that's about 24h prior to the market start. That's not a bug per se but these 15m markets just sit at ~0.50+spread before

I don't ever feel bad calling people like this stupid and retarded because there unforunately exist people who fall for this and end up wasting either their time, money, or both. You'd be a net positive for the world if you stopped posting about PM. Sad. Rocks for brains.

Another day, another slop. 1/ the paper about polymarket from aug 2025 cited here is really just analyzing past arbitrage opportunities and realized extraction on PM. You're trying to bring e.g. frank-wolfe here but that's conceptually misleading, because: a) it's not in the

if you bookmarked this, you're ngmi

x.com/i/article/2020…

The dumbest person you know just bought a mac mini to run a polymarket bot

Be careful here because there's something they're not really telling you. Not in the sense of lying, but in the sense of omitting interesting context. Synthdata (afaik) team is legit. They provided it with their public account (see attached screenshots), where they made 66k in

PM slop just never stops. Here's two more sloppers amplifying one another's nonsense. 1) websockets were always mandatory unless you have a fetish for getting absolutely fucked. no one with two brain cells has ever used, is using, or will ever use rest apis here. 2) "without a

His PnL was +$1.9m yesterday. I saw one too many of the usual ai slop posts here a lá "He doesn't predict geopolitics. He bets against panic." If you boomarked one of those slop posts, may this serve as yet another data point to convince you that 99% of PM twitter is clueless.

contra polymarket ai slop vol X - black scholes is something everyone knows about because it's been out there for 50 years. It's not even remotely close to the best model for fair probability. Obviously I don't know what the 'best' one is, and defining what 'best' means is a bit

Just met a cute girl at a crypto meetup I'm at like actually cute. genuinely attractive human being. we're talking. vibes are good. she's laughing at my jokes. i'm being charming. then prediction markets get brought up. she says "i trade on polymarket" my ears PERKED up i